F
Ford Motor Company
F has a slight edge over TLYS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
TLYS
Tilly's, Inc.
TLYS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
TLYS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
TLYS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TLYS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $0.31 | -93% |
| Fair | 11x | $0.64 | -85% |
| Forward | 23x | $4.29 | — |
| Expensive | 40x | $2.38 | -45% |
| Current | 75x | $4.29 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TLYS's PE is in its expensive range at 75x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TLYS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TLYS to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
TLYS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.18 | +208% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.06 | +$1.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.11 | +$1.51 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.58 | +$0.96 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.13 | +$0.64 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.51 | -$0.14 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.62 | -$0.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.54 | -$0.38 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.77 | -$1.30 |
TLYS has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over TLYS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
TLYS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $163.5M | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $124.7M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $155.1M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $139.6M | -2.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $151.3M | -7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $107.6M | -7.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $147.3M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $143.4M | -14% |
TLYS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $164M last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5% | +3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -6.5% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4% | +8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -21% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.6% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.8% | -8.3 points |
TLYS has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
TLYS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.9M | +56% |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.3M | +$4.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.3M | +$12.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$11.7M | +$13.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $13.4M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | -$9.6M | +$18.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.4M | -1829% |
| Q4 2024 | -$25.1M | -$14.3M |
TLYS has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over TLYS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
TLYS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.5% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +3% | +893K shares |
| 3 years | +4.5% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +0.1% | +46K shares |
| Available history | +4.7% | +1.4M shares |
TLYS has 31M diluted shares, up 3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $1.9M |
| Q3 2022 | $838,000 |
| Q2 2022 | $8.2M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
TLYS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -2.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -4.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -6.8x | Net Cash |
TLYS has the edge over F on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
TLYS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.4 | Neutral |
TLYS's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TLYS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TLYS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 75x | 18x | 316% above |
| PE % | 89 | 47 | 42 pts above |
TLYS is trading at 75x earnings, a 316% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
TLYS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.34 | 1.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.18 | 2.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $3.52 | 22% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.86 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.83 | 11% below |
TLYS has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
TLYS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.1 | $8.14 | -33% |
| 2021 | $8.14 | $15.3 | +88% |
| 2022 | $15.3 | $8.86 | -42% |
| 2023 | $8.86 | $7.54 | -15% |
| 2024 | $7.54 | $3.90 | -48% |
| 2025 | $3.90 | $1.83 | -53% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.83 | $4.29 | +134% |
TLYS has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.