F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
SHOO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
SHOO has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SHOO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SHOO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $28.23 | -31% |
| Current | 17x | $41.18 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $41.18 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $44.77 | +8.7% |
| Expensive | 46x | $113 | +174% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOO's PE is in its fair range at 16.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16.6x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SHOO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SHOO has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SHOO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.48 | +2.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.43 | +208% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.00 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.06 | -54% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.63 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.79 | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | -48% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.32 | -4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.35 | +2.2% |
SHOO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SHOO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $772.6M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $665.9M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $653.1M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $753.7M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $667.9M | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $559M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $553.5M | +0.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $582.3M | +12% |
SHOO has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.9% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +5.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.8% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | -7.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8% | +0.3 points |
SHOO has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over SHOO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$10.9M | -227% |
| Q2 2026 | $196.1M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | -$61.2M | -$32.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $80.8M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.6M | +$15.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $58.8M | -44% |
| Q1 2025 | -$28.7M | -$9M |
| Q4 2024 | $94.6M | -35% |
SHOO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $205M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over SHOO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
SHOO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +413K shares |
| 1 year | +2% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -2% | -1.5M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -8.7M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -11.1M shares |
SHOO has 73M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $343,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $985,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $7.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $169,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $428,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6M |
SHOO spent $14M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
SHOO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
SHOO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
SHOO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
SHOO's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SHOO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SHOO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 5.9% below |
| PE % | 37 | 47 | 10 pts below |
SHOO is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
SHOO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.5 | 5.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 6.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $41.7 | 1.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.3 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $37.6 | 9.4% above |
SHOO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
SHOO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $42.7 | $34.6 | -19% |
| 2021 | $34.6 | $44.4 | +28% |
| 2022 | $44.4 | $32.5 | -27% |
| 2023 | $32.5 | $42.0 | +29% |
| 2024 | $42.0 | $42.3 | +0.8% |
| 2025 | $42.3 | $43.0 | +1.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.0 | $41.2 | -4.3% |
SHOO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.