SHOO

Steven Madden, Ltd.

69
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SHOO's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 20% and its operating margin rose 5 points to 8.7%. At 17x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 18x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

SHOO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

SHOO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SHOO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x97x145x194x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x97x145x194x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$28.23-31%
Current17x$41.18—
Forward17x$41.18—
Fair18x$44.77+8.7%
Expensive46x$113+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOO's PE is in its fair range at 16.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16.5x.

SHOO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SHOO, with profitability improving.

SHOO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$59.33
Downside-16%$34.79

Calculated from the latest close: $41.18 on Nov 12.

SHOO's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +44% against −16%.

SHOO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $2.35Q4 2024: $2.35Q1 2025: $2.32Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $2.00Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $2.49
Q4 2023: $2.30Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $2.35Q4 2024: $2.35Q1 2025: $2.32Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $2.00Q3 2026: $2.43Forward: $2.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.49+2.4%
Q3 2026$2.43+208%
Q2 2026$2.00+57%
Q1 2026$1.06-54%
Q4 2025$0.63-73%
Q3 2025$0.79-66%
Q2 2025$1.27-48%
Q1 2025$2.32-4.1%
Q4 2024$2.35+2.2%

SHOO earned $2.43 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.

SHOO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $552MQ2 2024: $524MQ3 2024: $625MQ4 2024: $582MQ1 2025: $554MQ2 2025: $559MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $666MQ3 2026: $773M
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $552MQ2 2024: $524MQ3 2024: $625MQ4 2024: $582MQ1 2025: $554MQ2 2025: $559MQ3 2025: $668MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $666MQ3 2026: $773M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$772.6M+16%
Q2 2026$665.9M+19%
Q1 2026$653.1M+18%
Q4 2025$753.7M+29%
Q3 2025$667.9M+6.9%
Q2 2025$559M+6.8%
Q1 2025$553.5M+0.2%
Q4 2024$582.3M+12%

SHOO's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $773M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHOO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$20MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$20MQ2 2024: $104MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $81MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.9M-227%
Q2 2026$196.1M+233%
Q1 2026-$61.2M-$32.6M
Q4 2025$80.8M-15%
Q3 2025$8.6M+$15.5M
Q2 2025$58.8M-44%
Q1 2025-$28.7M-$9M
Q4 2024$94.6M-35%

SHOO usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$11M, but it generated $205M over the past year.

SHOO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 71MQ3 2025: 71MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+413K shares
1 year+2%+1.4M shares
3 years-2%-1.5M shares
5 years-11%-8.7M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

SHOO has 73M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

SHOO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.1x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.9xNet Cash

SHOO's net debt is about 1.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

SHOO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.6Neutral
Stochastic24.1Neutral

SHOO's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

SHOO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSHOOSector medianRelative
PE17x18x5.9% below
PE %374710 pts below

SHOO is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

SHOO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.55.3% below
20 week MA$43.96.1% below
50 week MA$41.71.2% below
100 week MA$36.314% above
200 week MA$37.69.4% above

SHOO has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 9.4% above its 200-week average.

SHOO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.7$34.6-19%
2021$34.6$44.4+28%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$42.0+29%
2024$42.0$42.3+0.8%
2025$42.3$43.0+1.7%
2026 YTD$43.0$41.2-4.3%

SHOO has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.3% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key