F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ROST

Ross Stores, Inc.

64
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

ROST has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ROST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ROST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$178-25%
Fair25x$210-12%
Forward27x$237—
Current29x$237—
Expensive35x$286+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROST's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ROST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

ROST has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails ROST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$291.87
Downside-10%$212.96

Calculated from the latest close: $237.24 on Nov 12.

ROST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ROST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
Q4 2023: $5.04Q1 2024: $5.56Q2 2024: $5.93Q3 2024: $6.20Q4 2024: $6.35Q1 2025: $6.32Q2 2025: $6.33Q3 2025: $6.30Q4 2025: $6.40Q1 2026: $6.61Q2 2026: $7.16Q3 2026: $8.26Forward: $8.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.78+6.3%
Q3 2026$8.26+31%
Q2 2026$7.16+13%
Q1 2026$6.61+4.6%
Q4 2025$6.40+0.8%
Q3 2025$6.30+1.6%
Q2 2025$6.33+6.7%
Q1 2025$6.32+14%
Q4 2024$6.35+26%

ROST has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

ROST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $5BQ3 2025: $5.5BQ4 2025: $5.6BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $6.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+13%
Q2 2026$6B+21%
Q1 2026$6.6B+12%
Q4 2025$5.6B+10%
Q3 2025$5.5B+4.6%
Q2 2025$5B+2.6%
Q1 2025$5.9B-1.8%
Q4 2024$5.1B+3%

ROST has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

ROST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
Q4 2023: $272MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $395MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $677MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $467MQ4 2025: $618MQ1 2026: $921MQ2 2026: $627MQ3 2026: $624M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$624.5M+34%
Q2 2026$627.1M+210%
Q1 2026$920.8M+36%
Q4 2025$617.8M+86%
Q3 2025$466.6M+18%
Q2 2025$202.3M-13%
Q1 2025$676.6M-6.9%
Q4 2024$333M+22%

ROST has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

ROST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
Q4 2023: 336MQ1 2024: 337MQ2 2024: 334MQ3 2024: 332MQ4 2024: 330MQ1 2025: 331MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 325MQ4 2025: 323MQ1 2026: 324MQ2 2026: 321MQ3 2026: 319M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.6%-5.3M shares
3 years-5.5%-18.5M shares
5 years-10%-35.5M shares
Available history-11%-39.8M shares

ROST has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over ROST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ROST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

ROST has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ROST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic33.0Neutral

ROST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROST PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricROSTSector medianRelative
PE29x18x59% above
PE %684721 pts above

ROST is trading at 29x earnings, a 59% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

ROST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.22.6% above
20 week MA$233.31.7% above
50 week MA$218.38.7% above
100 week MA$181.331% above
200 week MA$155.353% above

ROST has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

ROST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$115.0$118.0+2.7%
2021$118.0$110.2-6.7%
2022$110.2$115.5+4.8%
2023$115.5$138.4+20%
2024$138.4$153.0+11%
2025$153.0$181.1+18%
2026 YTD$181.1$237.2+31%

ROST has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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