F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RL

Ralph Lauren Corporation

65
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RL has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$252-35%
Fair19x$336-14%
Forward19x$391—
Current22x$391—
Expensive25x$438+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

RL has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails RL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$511.86
Downside-14%$334.14

Calculated from the latest close: $390.80 on Nov 12.

RL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
Q4 2023: $8.81Q1 2024: $9.71Q2 2024: $10.36Q3 2024: $10.48Q4 2024: $10.95Q1 2025: $11.61Q2 2025: $12.52Q3 2025: $13.53Q4 2025: $14.69Q1 2026: $15.11Q2 2026: $15.87Q3 2026: $17.42Forward: $20.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.24+16%
Q3 2026$17.42+29%
Q2 2026$15.87+27%
Q1 2026$15.11+30%
Q4 2025$14.69+34%
Q3 2025$13.53+29%
Q2 2025$12.52+21%
Q1 2025$11.61+20%
Q4 2024$10.95+24%

RL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.4BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+9.1%
Q2 2026$2B+14%
Q1 2026$2B+17%
Q4 2025$2.4B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.7B+14%
Q1 2025$1.7B+8.3%
Q4 2024$2.1B+11%

RL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

RL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $563MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $244MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: $704MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+$258.7M
Q2 2026$285.9M+$297.1M
Q1 2026$145.3M+243%
Q4 2025$704M+4%
Q3 2025-$40.6M-173%
Q2 2025-$11.2M-105%
Q1 2025$42.3M-48%
Q4 2024$677.2M+20%

RL generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 103% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

RL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-400K shares
1 year-2.4%-1.5M shares
3 years-9.4%-6.3M shares
5 years-19%-14.4M shares
Available history-20%-14.9M shares

RL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over RL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.7xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.7xNet Cash

RL has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic68.3Neutral

RL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRLSector medianRelative
PE22x18x24% above
PE %664719 pts above

RL is trading at 22x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

RL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.93.7% above
20 week MA$373.94.5% above
50 week MA$368.26.1% above
100 week MA$321.322% above
200 week MA$235.666% above

RL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

RL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$117.4$100.9-14%
2021$100.9$112.1+11%
2022$112.1$104.4-6.9%
2023$104.4$144.2+38%
2024$144.2$229.6+59%
2025$229.6$358.1+56%
2026 YTD$358.1$390.8+9.1%

RL has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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