F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
REAL
The RealReal, Inc.
REAL has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
REAL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
REAL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL PE Valuation
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
REAL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
REAL has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
REAL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.27 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.65 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.10 | -$0.09 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.00 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.07 | +$0.17 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.33 | -$0.47 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.01 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.08 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.24 | +$0.41 |
REAL has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over REAL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
REAL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $206.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $192.6M | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $189.7M | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $194.1M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $173.6M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $165.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $160M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $164M | +14% |
REAL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +6.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2% | +6.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.3% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6% | +7 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8% | +4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.1% | +12 points |
REAL's operating margin was 0.7% last quarter, up 5.1 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
REAL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $15.3M | -9.3% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.4M | +$9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$24.1M | +$8.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8M | +100% |
| Q3 2025 | $16.9M | +235% |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.4M | -$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$33M | -$27.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $22.9M | +233% |
REAL's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $35M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over REAL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
REAL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +7.1M shares |
| 1 year | +9.7% | +11.4M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +25.5M shares |
| 5 years | +40% | +36.3M shares |
| Available history | +48% | +41.6M shares |
REAL has 128M diluted shares, up 9.7% from a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over REAL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
REAL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
REAL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
REAL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 67.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.6 | Neutral |
REAL's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
REAL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
REAL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
REAL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 20 week MA | $11.0 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $11.6 | 23% above |
| 100 week MA | $9.75 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.17 | 132% above |
REAL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over REAL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
REAL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.3 | $20.3 | +11% |
| 2021 | $20.3 | $11.7 | -42% |
| 2022 | $11.7 | $1.10 | -91% |
| 2023 | $1.10 | $2.01 | +83% |
| 2024 | $2.01 | $10.9 | +440% |
| 2025 | $10.9 | $16.2 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.2 | $14.3 | -12% |
REAL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +440% in 2024 to −91% in 2022. It's down 12% so far in 2026.