F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has a slight edge over PATK overall, supported by stronger valuation.

PATK

Patrick Industries, Inc.

49
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PATK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

PATK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PATK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$25.09-68%
Fair16x$61.65-22%
Forward17x$78.59—
Current20x$78.59—
Expensive22x$85.00+8.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PATK's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PATK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails PATK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PATK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$103.45
Downside-17%$64.89

Calculated from the latest close: $78.59 on Nov 12.

PATK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PATK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.70+22%
Q3 2026$3.84+10%
Q2 2026$4.21+14%
Q1 2026$3.89-6.5%
Q4 2025$3.90-5.1%
Q3 2025$3.49-25%
Q2 2025$3.68-21%
Q1 2025$4.16-7.3%
Q4 2024$4.11-5.1%

PATK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

PATK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$975.3M0%
Q2 2026$1B-0.6%
Q1 2026$997.2M-0.6%
Q4 2025$924.2M+9.2%
Q3 2025$975.6M+6.1%
Q2 2025$1B+3%
Q1 2025$1B+7.5%
Q4 2024$846.1M+8.3%

PATK has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over PATK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PATK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.4M+$75.6M
Q2 2026$65.3M-50%
Q1 2026-$32.9M-265%
Q4 2025$112.7M+46%
Q3 2025-$17.2M-151%
Q2 2025$131.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$19.9M+1.1%
Q4 2024$77.2M-25%

PATK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $203M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

PATK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-6.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.5%-171K shares
5 years-7%-2.4M shares
Available history-6.5%-2.3M shares

PATK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over PATK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PATK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

PATK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPATKSector medianRelative
PE20x18x14% above
PE %744727 pts above

PATK is trading at 20x earnings, a 14% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

PATK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.410% above
20 week MA$78.00.7% above
50 week MA$97.119% below
100 week MA$95.818% below
200 week MA$80.62.5% below

PATK has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over PATK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PATK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$46.9+34%
2021$46.9$52.6+12%
2022$52.6$40.8-23%
2023$40.8$66.9+64%
2024$66.9$83.5+25%
2025$83.5$112.1+34%
2026 YTD$112.1$78.6-30%

PATK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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