F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSW

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited

62
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OSW has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

OSW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

OSW's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x32x48x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$30.69—
Cheap27x$23.09-25%
Fair33x$27.31-11%
Current37x$30.69—
Expensive41x$34.47+12%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSW's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSW, with profitability holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$36.95
Downside-18%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $30.69 on Nov 12.

OSW trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $0.27Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $0.27Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.49Q4 2024: $0.69Q1 2025: $0.63Q2 2025: $0.67Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.79Q3 2026: $0.84Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+51%
Q3 2026$0.84+20%
Q2 2026$0.79+18%
Q1 2026$0.75+19%
Q4 2025$0.690%
Q3 2025$0.70+43%
Q2 2025$0.67+49%
Q1 2025$0.63+133%
Q4 2024$0.69+$0.80

OSW has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $259MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: $195MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $242MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $220MQ2 2025: $241MQ3 2025: $259MQ4 2025: $242MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $277M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$276.5M+7%
Q2 2026$261.2M+8.5%
Q1 2026$247.6M+13%
Q4 2025$242.1M+11%
Q3 2025$258.5M+7%
Q2 2025$240.7M+7%
Q1 2025$219.6M+4%
Q4 2024$217.2M+11%

OSW has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over OSW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.6M+58%
Q2 2026$31M+77%
Q1 2026$4.7M-44%
Q4 2025$14.9M+13%
Q3 2025$27.6M+0.3%
Q2 2025$17.6M0%
Q1 2025$8.4M-39%
Q4 2024$13.2M-8.7%

OSW generated $94M in free cash flow over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

OSW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 98MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 106MQ3 2024: 106MQ4 2024: 105MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 104MQ4 2025: 104MQ1 2026: 102MQ2 2026: 102MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-617K shares
1 year-1.7%-1.8M shares
3 years+0.5%+495K shares
5 years+12%+11M shares
Available history+36%+26.7M shares

OSW has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over OSW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OSW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

OSW's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

OSW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.3Neutral
Stochastic89.8Overbought

OSW's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricOSWSector medianRelative
PE37x18x103% above
PE %724725 pts above

OSW is trading at 37x earnings, a 103% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

OSW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.317% above
20 week MA$25.719% above
50 week MA$23.928% above
100 week MA$22.040% above
200 week MA$17.773% above

OSW has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

OSW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.9$9.03-47%
2021$9.03$10.1+12%
2022$10.1$9.45-6.6%
2023$9.45$14.1+49%
2024$14.1$20.0+42%
2025$20.0$21.4+7%
2026 YTD$21.4$30.7+44%

OSW has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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