F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ORLY has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
ORLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
ORLY's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 22x | $70.95 | -23% |
| Fair | 26x | $83.95 | -8.3% |
| Forward | 26x | $91.56 | — |
| Current | 28x | $91.56 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $102 | +12% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORLY's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ORLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
ORLY has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ORLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.57 | +9.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.27 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.15 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.97 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.89 | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.80 | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.72 | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.71 | +5.4% |
ORLY has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
ORLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 2% for F versus up 7.8% for ORLY.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ORLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.7B | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.1B | +4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1B | +6.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $4.4B | +3.8% |
| Q2 2024 | $4.3B | +5% |
| Q1 2024 | $4B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2023 | $3.8B | +5.1% |
ORLY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.7B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 21% | +0.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 21% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2024 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2024 | 19% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2023 | 19% | 0 points |
ORLY's operating margin was 21% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
ORLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250.5M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $698.9M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | $788.5M | +68% |
| Q4 2025 | $364.5M | +9.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $304.4M | -41% |
| Q2 2025 | $456.1M | -37% |
| Q1 2025 | $468.2M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $334M | +26% |
ORLY's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.1B over the past year, up 35% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
ORLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -16.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.7% | -40.5M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -96.6M shares |
| 5 years | -22% | -226M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -355M shares |
ORLY has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $922.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $500.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $420M |
| Q2 2025 | $617.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $559.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $472M |
ORLY spent $4B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 92% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over ORLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ORLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
ORLY's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
ORLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.9 | Neutral |
ORLY's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ORLY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ORLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 18x | 56% above |
| PE % | 67 | 47 | 20 pts above |
ORLY is trading at 28x earnings, a 56% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
ORLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $88.3 | 3.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $90.9 | 0.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $92.2 | 0.7% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.6 | 15% above |
ORLY has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
ORLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.2 | $30.8 | +5.6% |
| 2021 | $30.8 | $45.3 | +47% |
| 2022 | $45.3 | $55.6 | +23% |
| 2023 | $55.6 | $63.3 | +14% |
| 2024 | $63.3 | $79.8 | +26% |
| 2025 | $79.8 | $92.3 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $92.3 | $91.6 | -0.7% |
ORLY has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.