F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over MTN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MTN

Vail Resorts, Inc.

45
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

MTN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MTN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$87.81-42%
Forward27x$151—
Fair31x$128-16%
Current37x$151—
Expensive79x$325+115%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTN's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

MTN has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$173.47
Downside-31%$103.96

Calculated from the latest close: $151.17 on Nov 12.

MTN trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.54Q1 2024: $6.14Q2 2024: $7.50Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.06Q1 2025: $6.86Q2 2025: $7.86Q3 2025: $7.53Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.52Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $5.63
Q4 2023: $5.54Q1 2024: $6.14Q2 2024: $7.50Q3 2024: $6.07Q4 2024: $6.06Q1 2025: $6.86Q2 2025: $7.86Q3 2025: $7.53Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $6.25Q2 2026: $4.52Q3 2026: $4.12Forward: $5.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.63+37%
Q3 2026$4.12-45%
Q2 2026$4.52-42%
Q1 2026$6.25-8.9%
Q4 2025$6.94+15%
Q3 2025$7.53+24%
Q2 2025$7.86+4.8%
Q1 2025$6.86+12%
Q4 2024$6.06+9.4%

MTN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $265MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $278M
Q4 2023: $259MQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $265MQ4 2024: $260MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $271MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $278M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$278.1M+2.5%
Q2 2026$1.2B-7%
Q1 2026$1.1B-4.7%
Q4 2025$271M+4.1%
Q3 2025$271.3M+2.2%
Q2 2025$1.3B+1%
Q1 2025$1.1B+5.5%
Q4 2024$260.3M+0.7%

MTN has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over MTN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: −$150MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: −$228MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$153M
Q4 2023: $275MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $85MQ3 2024: −$150MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: −$228MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $185MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$153M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$153M+$74.5M
Q2 2026-$28.2M-133%
Q1 2026$185M-26%
Q4 2025$244.3M+16%
Q3 2025-$227.5M-$77.2M
Q2 2025$84.5M-0.6%
Q1 2025$251.2M+52%
Q4 2024$211.4M-23%

MTN usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$153M, but it generated $248M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

MTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+106K shares
1 year-3.8%-1.4M shares
3 years-10%-4M shares
5 years-12%-5M shares
Available history-11%-4.5M shares

MTN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over MTN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 3.6xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20243.0xElevated

MTN's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.3Neutral
Stochastic73.5Neutral

MTN's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMTNSector medianRelative
PE37x18x104% above
PE %694722 pts above

MTN is trading at 37x earnings, a 104% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.82.3% above
20 week MA$146.23.4% above
50 week MA$139.78.2% above
100 week MA$148.02.2% above
200 week MA$181.317% below

MTN has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

MTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$242.3$275.2+14%
2021$275.2$332.2+21%
2022$332.2$241.1-27%
2023$241.1$213.5-11%
2024$213.5$190.5-11%
2025$190.5$140.3-26%
2026 YTD$140.3$151.2+7.8%

MTN has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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