F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over MTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
MTH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Under pressure |
MTH's profitability is currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.8x | $21.55 | -67% |
| Fair | 7.7x | $34.14 | -47% |
| Expensive | 11x | $46.91 | -28% |
| Current | 15x | $64.80 | — |
| Forward | 16x | $64.80 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MTH's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 16x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over MTH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
MTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MTH's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.93 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.46 | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.81 | -45% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.48 | -45% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.35 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.49 | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.77 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.88 | -7.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.72 | +7.6% |
MTH has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MTH Quarterly Revenue
MTH and F do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | 23% | N/A |
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
MTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$35.3M | +$69M |
| Q2 2026 | $183.9M | +2552% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +$145.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $238.1M | +$345.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$104.3M | -$4.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $6.9M | +$131.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$48.2M | -164% |
| Q4 2024 | -$107M | +$4.4M |
MTH has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
MTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.5% | -6.1M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -11.3M shares |
| Available history | -16% | -12.7M shares |
MTH has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $55M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $130M |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $55M |
| Q2 2025 | $45M |
| Q1 2025 | $45M |
| Q4 2024 | $40M |
MTH spent $435M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 135% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over MTH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MTH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
MTH's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.5 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
MTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.3 | Neutral |
MTH's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MTH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 19% below |
| PE % | 98 | 47 | 51 pts above |
MTH is trading at 15x earnings, a 19% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
MTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $63.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.4 | 5.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $69.1 | 6.2% below |
| 100 week MA | $70.4 | 7.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $73.4 | 12% below |
MTH has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
MTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.7 | $44.2 | +44% |
| 2021 | $44.2 | $58.5 | +32% |
| 2022 | $58.5 | $46.1 | -21% |
| 2023 | $46.1 | $87.1 | +89% |
| 2024 | $87.1 | $77.1 | -12% |
| 2025 | $77.1 | $66.8 | -13% |
| 2026 YTD | $66.8 | $64.8 | -3% |
MTH has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.