F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MOV
Movado Group, Inc.
MOV has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
MOV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.4x | $13.34 | -58% |
| Fair | 12x | $20.84 | -35% |
| Forward | 15x | $31.95 | — |
| Current | 18x | $31.95 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $37.20 | +16% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOV's PE is in its expensive range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MOV has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.17 | +20% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +135% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.41 | +76% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.17 | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.97 | -6.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.77 | -52% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.80 | -55% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.87 | -58% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.04 | -59% |
MOV has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.8M | +4.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $142.4M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.6M | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $186.1M | +1.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $161.8M | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $131.8M | -3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $181.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2024 | $182.7M | -2.6% |
MOV has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.8% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.9% | +4.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.3% | +2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6% | -7.4 points |
MOV has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
MOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.6M | +$3.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.8M | +$14.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $55.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.6M | +$18.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.1M | +$15M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.7M | +$11M |
| Q1 2025 | $37.5M | -45% |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | -$3.3M |
MOV has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over MOV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
MOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +259K shares |
| 1 year | +2.3% | +514K shares |
| 3 years | +2.1% | +469K shares |
| 5 years | -2.8% | -654K shares |
| Available history | -0.7% | -165K shares |
MOV has 23M diluted shares, up 2.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.1M |
MOV spent $4M buying back its own shares over the past year.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
MOV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.1x | Net Cash |
MOV has the edge over F on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
MOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
MOV's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.1% below |
| PE % | 72 | 47 | 25 pts above |
MOV is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
MOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.2 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.5 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $29.8 | 7.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $23.7 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $25.1 | 27% above |
MOV has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
MOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.5 | $17.4 | -19% |
| 2021 | $17.4 | $40.5 | +133% |
| 2022 | $40.5 | $30.7 | -24% |
| 2023 | $30.7 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2024 | $30.2 | $19.9 | -34% |
| 2025 | $19.9 | $20.9 | +5.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $32.0 | +53% |
MOV has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.