F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MELI

MercadoLibre, Inc.

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MELI has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MELI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Stable

MELI's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MELI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$1,475—
Current40x$1,475—
Cheap50x$1,874+27%
Fair75x$2,798+90%
Expensive193x$7,183+387%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MELI's PE is in its cheap range at 40x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MELI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MELI, but weaker profitability.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails MELI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MELI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$2,089.12
Downside-17%$1,229.90

Calculated from the latest close: $1,475.09 on Nov 12.

MELI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MELI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $19.54Q1 2024: $22.35Q2 2024: $27.67Q3 2024: $28.34Q4 2024: $37.69Q1 2025: $40.65Q2 2025: $40.48Q3 2025: $40.97Q4 2025: $39.40Q1 2026: $37.89Q2 2026: $36.77Q3 2026: $37.28Forward: $44.82
Q4 2023: $19.54Q1 2024: $22.35Q2 2024: $27.67Q3 2024: $28.34Q4 2024: $37.69Q1 2025: $40.65Q2 2025: $40.48Q3 2025: $40.97Q4 2025: $39.40Q1 2026: $37.89Q2 2026: $36.77Q3 2026: $37.28Forward: $44.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$44.82+20%
Q3 2026$37.28-9%
Q2 2026$36.77-9.2%
Q1 2026$37.89-6.8%
Q4 2025$39.40+4.5%
Q3 2025$40.97+45%
Q2 2025$40.48+46%
Q1 2025$40.65+82%
Q4 2024$37.69+93%

MELI has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MELI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.4BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.8BQ2 2026: $10.2BQ3 2026: $10.8B
Q4 2023: $4.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $5.1BQ3 2024: $5.3BQ4 2024: $6.1BQ1 2025: $5.9BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $7.4BQ4 2025: $8.8BQ1 2026: $8.8BQ2 2026: $10.2BQ3 2026: $10.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.8B+45%
Q2 2026$10.2B+50%
Q1 2026$8.8B+49%
Q4 2025$8.8B+45%
Q3 2025$7.4B+39%
Q2 2025$6.8B+34%
Q1 2025$5.9B+37%
Q4 2024$6.1B+42%

MELI has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

MELI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $759MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $759MQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $2.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.4B-6%
Q2 2026$3.2B+22%
Q1 2026$1.8B+138%
Q4 2025$4.8B+83%
Q3 2025$2.6B+89%
Q2 2025$2.6B+55%
Q1 2025$759M-44%
Q4 2024$2.6B+50%

MELI has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

MELI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-195 shares
1 year0%-178 shares
3 years+1%+488K shares
5 years+2.2%+1.1M shares
Available history+2%+987K shares

MELI has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over MELI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MELI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

MELI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MELI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.0Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

MELI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MELI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMELISector medianRelative
PE40x18x120% above
PE %04747 pts below

MELI is trading at 40x earnings, a 120% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MELI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,699.113% below
20 week MA$1,796.018% below
50 week MA$1,820.019% below
100 week MA$2,010.527% below
200 week MA$1,769.517% below

MELI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over MELI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MELI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$599.2$1,690.5+182%
2021$1,690.5$1,262.7-25%
2022$1,262.7$878.3-30%
2023$878.3$1,571.5+79%
2024$1,571.5$1,725.5+9.8%
2025$1,725.5$2,005.7+16%
2026 YTD$2,005.7$1,475.1-26%

MELI has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

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