F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
MCD has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MCD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
MCD's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCD PE Valuation
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MCD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect MCD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
MCD has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 270% for F versus MCD up 0.4%.
MCD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.34 | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $11.38 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2024 | $11.42 | +5.3% |
| Q1 2024 | $11.77 | +27% |
| Q4 2023 | $11.56 | +39% |
| Q3 2023 | $11.34 | +43% |
| Q2 2023 | $10.85 | +34% |
| Q1 2023 | $9.30 | -1.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $8.33 | -17% |
MCD earned $11.38 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MCD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.2B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +3.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.5B | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7B | +9.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.1B | +3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8B | +5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $6B | -3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.4B | -0.3% |
MCD has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 45% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 47% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 47% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.2 points |
MCD has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
MCD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.1B | -11% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.4B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +1.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.8B | +5.3% |
MCD generated $7.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 1.6% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
MCD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -7.9M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -18.4M shares |
MCD has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $519M |
| Q2 2026 | $856M |
| Q1 2026 | $396M |
| Q4 2025 | $573M |
| Q3 2025 | $501M |
| Q2 2025 | $505M |
| Q1 2025 | $477M |
| Q4 2024 | $503M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over MCD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MCD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
MCD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
MCD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.5 | Neutral |
MCD's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MCD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MCD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MCD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
MCD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.4 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $260.1 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $286.6 | 4.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $295.0 | 7.2% below |
| 200 week MA | $287.9 | 5% below |
MCD has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over MCD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MCD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $198.2 | $211.4 | +6.7% |
| 2021 | $211.4 | $266.0 | +26% |
| 2022 | $266.0 | $267.6 | +0.6% |
| 2023 | $267.6 | $296.5 | +11% |
| 2024 | $296.5 | $293.6 | -1% |
| 2025 | $293.6 | $310.7 | +5.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $310.7 | $273.6 | -12% |
MCD has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.