F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
M
Macy's, Inc.
M has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
M Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
M's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
M PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.1x | $11.23 | -54% |
| Fair | 7.3x | $19.94 | -18% |
| Current | 8.9x | $24.33 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $24.33 | — |
| Expensive | 23x | $61.89 | +154% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
M's PE is in its fair range at 8.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its expensive range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
M Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect M's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
M Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.24 | -18% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.73 | +55% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.42 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.32 | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | +183% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.76 | +171% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.98 | +4850% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.07 | +445% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.60 | -76% |
M has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over M on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
M Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.9B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.9B | -1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9B | +0.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B | -4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $8B | -4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9B | -2.7% |
M's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $5.1B last quarter, up 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.8% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +7.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -0.4 points |
M has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over M on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
M Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $229M | -4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $204M | +$368M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | -$101M | +$194M |
| Q3 2025 | $240M | +$349M |
| Q2 2025 | -$164M | -$139M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | -$295M | -$87M |
M still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $1.4B over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
M Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -800K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -46.7M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -39.1M shares |
M has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $53M |
| Q2 2026 | $51M |
| Q1 2026 | $50M |
| Q4 2025 | $51M |
| Q3 2025 | $52M |
| Q2 2025 | $97M |
| Q1 2025 | $1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
M spent $205M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 37% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over M on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
M Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
M's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
M Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.4 | Neutral |
M's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
M PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | M | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.9x | 18x | 51% below |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
M is trading at 8.9x earnings, a 51% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
M Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.5 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.3 | 4.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.0 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $18.3 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $17.6 | 38% above |
M has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
M Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.5 | $10.8 | -35% |
| 2021 | $10.8 | $25.1 | +134% |
| 2022 | $25.1 | $20.3 | -19% |
| 2023 | $20.3 | $20.1 | -0.9% |
| 2024 | $20.1 | $17.5 | -13% |
| 2025 | $17.5 | $22.5 | +28% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.5 | $24.3 | +8.3% |
M has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.