M

Macy's, Inc.

58
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

M's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 46%, while revenue grew only 0.3%. At 8.9x earnings, it's trading above its usual 7.5x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

M Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

M's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

M PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE131x262x394x525x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE131x262x394x525x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.1x$11.23-54%
Fair7.3x$19.94-18%
Current8.9x$24.33—
Forward11x$24.33—
Expensive23x$61.89+154%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

M's PE is in its fair range at 8.9x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its expensive range.

M Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect M's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

M Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$34.55
Downside-19%$19.76

Calculated from the latest close: $24.33 on Nov 12.

M's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +42% against −19%.

M Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.46Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.73Forward: $2.24
Q4 2023: $2.46Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.65Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $2.07Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $2.32Q2 2026: $2.42Q3 2026: $2.73Forward: $2.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.24-18%
Q3 2026$2.73+55%
Q2 2026$2.42+22%
Q1 2026$2.32+12%
Q4 2025$1.70+183%
Q3 2025$1.76+171%
Q2 2025$1.98+4850%
Q1 2025$2.07+445%
Q4 2024$0.60-76%

M's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.73 over the past year, against $5.21 in early 2022.

M Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $8.4BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $8BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $8.4BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $4.9BQ1 2025: $8BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $5BQ4 2025: $4.9BQ1 2026: $7.9BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+1.2%
Q2 2026$4.9B+2.1%
Q1 2026$7.9B-1.1%
Q4 2025$4.9B+0.2%
Q3 2025$5B-1.9%
Q2 2025$4.8B-4.1%
Q1 2025$8B-4.4%
Q4 2024$4.9B-2.7%

M's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $5.1B last quarter, up 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

M Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$208MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: −$25MQ3 2024: −$109MQ4 2024: −$295MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$164MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: −$101MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $229M
Q4 2023: −$208MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: −$25MQ3 2024: −$109MQ4 2024: −$295MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: −$164MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: −$101MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $204MQ3 2026: $229M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$229M-4.6%
Q2 2026$204M+$368M
Q1 2026$1.1B-9%
Q4 2025-$101M+$194M
Q3 2025$240M+$349M
Q2 2025-$164M-$139M
Q1 2025$1.2B+19%
Q4 2024-$295M-$87M

M still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $1.4B over the past year.

M Total Shares

Q4 2023: 278MQ1 2024: 278MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 282MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 276MQ4 2025: 275MQ1 2026: 277MQ2 2026: 273MQ3 2026: 272M
Q4 2023: 278MQ1 2024: 278MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 282MQ1 2025: 282MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 276MQ4 2025: 275MQ1 2026: 277MQ2 2026: 273MQ3 2026: 272M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-800K shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.9M shares
5 years-15%-46.7M shares
Available history-13%-39.1M shares

M has 272M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $205M in buybacks over the past year.

M Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.9xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20242.1xModerate

M's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

M Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic61.4Neutral

M's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

M PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMSector medianRelative
PE8.9x18x51% below
PE %604713 pts above

M is trading at 8.9x earnings, a 51% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

M Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.53.7% above
20 week MA$23.34.4% above
50 week MA$22.011% above
100 week MA$18.333% above
200 week MA$17.638% above

M is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% above its 200-week average.

M Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.5$10.8-35%
2021$10.8$25.1+134%
2022$25.1$20.3-19%
2023$20.3$20.1-0.9%
2024$20.1$17.5-13%
2025$17.5$22.5+28%
2026 YTD$22.5$24.3+8.3%

M has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 8.3% so far in 2026.

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