F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
LULU has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LULU Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LULU's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LULU PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.6x | $104 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $104 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $167 | +60% |
| Fair | 40x | $490 | +369% |
| Expensive | 69x | $834 | +699% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LULU's PE is in its cheap range at 8.6x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 13x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over LULU on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
LULU Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Decline | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LULU's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LULU Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.19 | -33% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.17 | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.35 | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.26 | -9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.37 | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.65 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.70 | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.64 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.84 | +76% |
LULU has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LULU Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.6B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.6B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +8.7% |
LULU has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +5.1 points |
LULU has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over LULU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LULU Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $225.2M | +49% |
| Q2 2026 | $87.1M | +$358.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $959.7M | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $82.4M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $150.8M | -49% |
| Q2 2025 | -$271.2M | -$268.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $122.2M | -46% |
LULU generated $1.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
LULU Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.2% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -6.8M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -14.3M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -17.6M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -17.9M shares |
LULU has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $333.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $361.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $271.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $190.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $281.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $434.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $335.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $412.6M |
LULU spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 21% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over LULU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LULU Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
LULU has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LULU Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.5 | Neutral |
LULU's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LULU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LULU | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.6x | 18x | 52% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
LULU is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 52% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
LULU Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $101.1 | 3.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $109.2 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $141.5 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $202.2 | 48% below |
| 200 week MA | $281.9 | 63% below |
LULU has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over LULU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LULU Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.0 | $351.4 | +53% |
| 2021 | $351.4 | $391.6 | +11% |
| 2022 | $391.6 | $311.5 | -20% |
| 2023 | $311.5 | $511.3 | +64% |
| 2024 | $511.3 | $386.7 | -24% |
| 2025 | $386.7 | $209.0 | -46% |
| 2026 YTD | $209.0 | $104.5 | -50% |
LULU has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 50% so far in 2026.