F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over LGIH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
LGIH offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LGIH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LGIH's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LGIH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.8x | $20.61 | -50% |
| Fair | 11x | $33.17 | -19% |
| Expensive | 14x | $42.66 | +3.7% |
| Current | 14x | $41.12 | — |
| Forward | 15x | $41.12 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LGIH's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over LGIH on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
LGIH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LGIH's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LGIH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.67 | -12% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.84 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.04 | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.12 | -62% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.53 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.63 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.75 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.30 | -1.4% |
LGIH has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over LGIH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LGIH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $444.5M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $516M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $319.7M | -9% |
| Q4 2025 | $474M | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $396.6M | -39% |
| Q2 2025 | $483.5M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $351.4M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $557.4M | -8.4% |
LGIH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $444M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.5% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.9% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% | -3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -1.7 points |
LGIH has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
LGIH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$51.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $113.7M | +$200.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$56.2M | +$71.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $86.8M | +54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.3M | +$4.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$86.4M | -$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$128M | -$27.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.4M | +$90.7M |
LGIH has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over LGIH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
LGIH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.8% | +187K shares |
| 1 year | +1.4% | +317K shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -175K shares |
| 5 years | -5.5% | -1.4M shares |
| Available history | -7.7% | -2M shares |
LGIH has 23M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $20.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $13M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $8M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over LGIH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LGIH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 19.0x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 6.6x | High |
LGIH has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LGIH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Oversold |
LGIH's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LGIH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LGIH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 25% below |
| PE % | 80 | 47 | 33 pts above |
LGIH is trading at 14x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
LGIH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.8 | 8.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.1 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $49.7 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.1 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $83.9 | 51% below |
LGIH is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
LGIH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $70.5 | $112.7 | +60% |
| 2021 | $112.7 | $152.2 | +35% |
| 2022 | $152.2 | $94.8 | -38% |
| 2023 | $94.8 | $133.2 | +40% |
| 2024 | $133.2 | $89.6 | -33% |
| 2025 | $89.6 | $43.2 | -52% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.2 | $41.1 | -4.8% |
LGIH has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.