F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over LEN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LEN

Lennar Corporation

27
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

LEN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LEN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$35.62-57%
Fair10x$53.28-36%
Expensive12x$64.56-23%
Current16x$83.58—
Forward18x$83.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LEN's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 18x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over LEN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

LEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LEN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$93.38
Downside-49%$42.60

Calculated from the latest close: $83.58 on Nov 12.

LEN trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
Q4 2023: $13.29Q1 2024: $13.79Q2 2024: $14.21Q3 2024: $14.59Q4 2024: $13.98Q1 2025: $13.45Q2 2025: $11.92Q3 2025: $10.09Q4 2025: $7.98Q1 2026: $6.95Q2 2026: $6.38Q3 2026: $5.28Forward: $4.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.68-11%
Q3 2026$5.28-48%
Q2 2026$6.38-46%
Q1 2026$6.95-48%
Q4 2025$7.98-43%
Q3 2025$10.09-31%
Q2 2025$11.92-16%
Q1 2025$13.45-2.5%
Q4 2024$13.98+5.2%

LEN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over LEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
Q4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $7.3BQ2 2024: $8.8BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $9.9BQ1 2025: $7.6BQ2 2025: $8.4BQ3 2025: $8.8BQ4 2025: $9.4BQ1 2026: $6.6BQ2 2026: $7.9BQ3 2026: $8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8B-8.7%
Q2 2026$7.9B-5.2%
Q1 2026$6.6B-13%
Q4 2025$9.4B-5.8%
Q3 2025$8.8B-6.4%
Q2 2025$8.4B-4.4%
Q1 2025$7.6B+4.4%
Q4 2024$9.9B-9.3%

LEN's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $8B last quarter, down 8.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LEN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $295MQ2 2024: $203MQ3 2024: $801MQ4 2024: $933MQ1 2025: −$345MQ2 2025: −$1.1BQ3 2025: −$191MQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: −$463MQ2 2026: −$303MQ3 2026: −$96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$96.3M+$94.5M
Q2 2026-$303.2M+$807M
Q1 2026-$463.5M-$118.4M
Q4 2025$1.7B+79%
Q3 2025-$190.8M-124%
Q2 2025-$1.1B-647%
Q1 2025-$345.1M-217%
Q4 2024$933.1M-63%

LEN's free cash flow has turned positive again: $811M over the past year, against −$713M the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
Q4 2023: 293MQ1 2024: 286MQ2 2024: 283MQ3 2024: 279MQ4 2024: 272MQ1 2025: 263MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 256MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 244MQ2 2026: 241MQ3 2026: 238M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-3M shares
1 year-7%-17.8M shares
3 years-19%-54.4M shares
5 years-25%-79.7M shares
Available history-28%-91.2M shares

LEN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LEN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -1.2xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

LEN has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

LEN's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LEN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLENSector medianRelative
PE16x18x12% below
PE %994752 pts above

LEN is trading at 16x earnings, a 12% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.51.3% above
20 week MA$83.60% above
50 week MA$94.011% below
100 week MA$107.522% below
200 week MA$123.933% below

LEN has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.0$80.4+44%
2021$80.4$112.1+39%
2022$112.1$90.6-19%
2023$90.6$149.0+64%
2024$149.0$137.2-8%
2025$137.2$104.9-24%
2026 YTD$104.9$83.6-20%

LEN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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