F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LAD

Lithia Motors, Inc.

61
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LAD has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

LAD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.6x13x20x26x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$238-20%
Forward7.7x$297—
Current8.5x$297—
Fair9.4x$327+10%
Expensive13x$462+55%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LAD's PE is in its fair range at 8.5x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over LAD on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

LAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect LAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails LAD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$394.89
Downside-16%$248.16

Calculated from the latest close: $297.17 on Nov 12.

LAD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.29Q1 2024: $33.88Q2 2024: $30.97Q3 2024: $29.31Q4 2024: $29.65Q1 2025: $31.70Q2 2025: $33.70Q3 2025: $34.51Q4 2025: $32.32Q1 2026: $28.66Q2 2026: $30.33Q3 2026: $34.94Forward: $38.68
Q4 2023: $36.29Q1 2024: $33.88Q2 2024: $30.97Q3 2024: $29.31Q4 2024: $29.65Q1 2025: $31.70Q2 2025: $33.70Q3 2025: $34.51Q4 2025: $32.32Q1 2026: $28.66Q2 2026: $30.33Q3 2026: $34.94Forward: $38.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$38.68+11%
Q3 2026$34.94+1.2%
Q2 2026$30.33-10%
Q1 2026$28.66-9.6%
Q4 2025$32.32+9%
Q3 2025$34.51+18%
Q2 2025$33.70+8.8%
Q1 2025$31.70-6.4%
Q4 2024$29.65-18%

LAD has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: $9.2BQ2 2025: $9.6BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $9.2BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.9B
Q4 2023: $7.7BQ1 2024: $8.6BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.2BQ4 2024: $9.2BQ1 2025: $9.2BQ2 2025: $9.6BQ3 2025: $9.7BQ4 2025: $9.2BQ1 2026: $9.3BQ2 2026: $9.8BQ3 2026: $9.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9.9B+2.8%
Q2 2026$9.8B+2.2%
Q1 2026$9.3B+1%
Q4 2025$9.2B+0.3%
Q3 2025$9.7B+4.9%
Q2 2025$9.6B+3.8%
Q1 2025$9.2B+7.2%
Q4 2024$9.2B+20%

LAD has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LAD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$362MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$279MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$71MQ3 2025: −$207MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$206MQ2 2026: −$122MQ3 2026: −$130M
Q4 2023: −$362MQ1 2024: $213MQ2 2024: −$279MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: −$18MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: −$71MQ3 2025: −$207MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: −$206MQ2 2026: −$122MQ3 2026: −$130M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$129.7M+$77.6M
Q2 2026-$122M-$51.2M
Q1 2026-$205.5M-181%
Q4 2025$30.5M+$48.2M
Q3 2025-$207.3M-232%
Q2 2025-$70.8M+$207.7M
Q1 2025$253.4M+19%
Q4 2024-$17.7M+$344M

LAD has burned cash in most quarters: −$427M over the past year, against −$42M the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LAD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 25MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-500K shares
1 year-13%-3.2M shares
3 years-20%-5.6M shares
5 years-28%-8.5M shares
Available history-6%-1.4M shares

LAD has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LAD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LAD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20244.3xHigh

LAD has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.7Neutral
Stochastic27.7Neutral

LAD's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LAD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLADSector medianRelative
PE8.5x18x53% below
PE %38479 pts below

LAD is trading at 8.5x earnings, a 53% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$301.41.4% below
20 week MA$332.411% below
50 week MA$311.44.6% below
100 week MA$317.06.3% below
200 week MA$299.40.7% below

LAD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.7% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$148.5$290.0+95%
2021$290.0$289.0-0.3%
2022$289.0$201.9-30%
2023$201.9$329.3+63%
2024$329.3$361.0+9.6%
2025$361.0$344.4-4.6%
2026 YTD$344.4$297.2-14%

LAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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