F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
HD has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
HD's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 19x | $275 | -21% |
| Forward | 22x | $348 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $334 | -4.1% |
| Current | 24x | $348 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $372 | +6.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HD's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over HD on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
HD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect HD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
HD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.70 | +9.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $14.29 | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.08 | -4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.23 | -4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.66 | -0.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.71 | -1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.73 | -1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.91 | -1.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.73 | -5.5% |
HD has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47.9B | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $41.8B | +4.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $38.2B | -3.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $41.4B | +2.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.3B | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $39.9B | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.7B | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.2B | +6.6% |
HD has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.9 points |
HD has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over HD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.2B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | -8.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | -21% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.6B | -7.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -4.2% |
HD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $15.1B over the past year, up 6.1% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
HD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +2M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 5 years | -6.2% | -66M shares |
| Available history | -9% | -98M shares |
HD has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $649M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over HD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.2x | Moderate |
HD's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
HD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 75.1 | Neutral |
HD's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 18x | 35% above |
| PE % | 66 | 47 | 19 pts above |
HD is trading at 24x earnings, a 35% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
HD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $314.7 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $325.6 | 7% above |
| 50 week MA | $337.9 | 3.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $359.2 | 3% below |
| 200 week MA | $349.2 | 0.3% below |
HD has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
HD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $220.0 | $270.9 | +23% |
| 2021 | $270.9 | $397.1 | +47% |
| 2022 | $397.1 | $318.7 | -20% |
| 2023 | $318.7 | $346.6 | +8.7% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $392.9 | +13% |
| 2025 | $392.9 | $349.8 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $349.8 | $348.3 | -0.4% |
HD has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.