F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
GTX has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GTX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
GTX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 2.2x | $4.29 | -80% |
| Fair | 8.1x | $15.86 | -26% |
| Expensive | 11x | $21.61 | +0.5% |
| Current | 11x | $21.50 | — |
| Forward | 11x | $21.50 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GTX's PE is in its expensive range at 11.0x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10.6x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GTX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect GTX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
GTX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.04 | +4.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.95 | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.82 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.71 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.52 | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.57 | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.43 | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.29 | +$2.44 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.27 | +$2.57 |
GTX has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GTX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $930M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $976M | +6.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $985M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $891M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $902M | +9.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $913M | +2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $878M | -4% |
| Q4 2024 | $844M | -11% |
GTX has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +1.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +2.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.7% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +4.5 points |
GTX has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over GTX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GTX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $120M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $128M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $69M | +130% |
| Q4 2025 | $78M | -28% |
| Q3 2025 | $90M | +91% |
| Q2 2025 | $143M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $30M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $109M | 0% |
GTX generated $395M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
GTX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -13.1M shares |
| 3 years | +76% | +81.6M shares |
| 5 years | +149% | +113M shares |
| Available history | +149% | +113M shares |
GTX has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $57M |
| Q2 2026 | $28M |
| Q1 2026 | $87M |
| Q4 2025 | $72M |
| Q3 2025 | $84M |
| Q2 2025 | $22M |
| Q1 2025 | $30M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
GTX spent $244M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 18% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over GTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GTX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.1x | Elevated |
GTX's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.6 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
GTX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
GTX's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GTX PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GTX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 39% below |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
GTX is trading at 11x earnings, a 39% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
GTX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $23.5 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $27.0 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $24.3 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.9 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.1 | 64% above |
GTX has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
GTX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.2 | $5.25 | -49% |
| 2021 | $5.25 | $7.50 | +43% |
| 2022 | $7.50 | $7.85 | +4.7% |
| 2023 | $7.85 | $9.67 | +23% |
| 2024 | $9.67 | $8.96 | -7.3% |
| 2025 | $8.96 | $17.4 | +95% |
| 2026 YTD | $17.4 | $21.5 | +23% |
GTX has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.