F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has a slight edge over GHG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

GHG

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

GHG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

GHG's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$0.43-59%
Current16x$1.03—
Fair17x$1.05+1.6%
Expensive33x$1.95+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GHG's PE is 16x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GHG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for GHG to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GHG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$1.26
Downside-18%$0.84

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

GHG trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GHG Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.23Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.27Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.06-79%
Q1 2026$0.18-22%
Q4 2025$0.31+94%
Q3 2025$0.27+17%
Q2 2025$0.28+460%
Q1 2025$0.23+64%
Q4 2024$0.16+60%
Q3 2024$0.23+92%

GHG has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over GHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GHG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
Q3 2023: $60MQ4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $53MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$35.2M-20%
Q1 2026$34.2M-22%
Q4 2025$32.2M-30%
Q3 2025$45.6M-15%
Q2 2025$43.9M-11%
Q1 2025$43.9M-17%
Q4 2024$45.7M-18%
Q3 2024$53.6M-11%

GHG's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $35M last quarter, down 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over GHG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GHG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $961,771Q2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.6M-65%
Q1 2026$961.8K-79%
Q4 2025-$2.8M-180%
Q3 2025-$3M-116%
Q2 2025$4.5M-49%
Q1 2025$4.5M-62%
Q4 2024$3.5M+$7.8M
Q3 2024$19.6M+6.8%

GHG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$3M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

GHG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
Q3 2023: 103MQ4 2023: 102MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 102MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 102MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.5%-503K shares
3 years-1.3%-1.3M shares
5 years-2.1%-2.2M shares
Available history-1.3%-1.3M shares

GHG has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over GHG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GHG Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low
Q3 20240.5xVery low

GHG has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

GHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.8Neutral
Stochastic30.0Neutral

GHG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GHG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGHGSector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.3% below
PE %46471 pt below

GHG is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

GHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.985.1% above
20 week MA$1.062.8% below
50 week MA$1.2518% below
100 week MA$1.7541% below
200 week MA$2.7362% below

GHG has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over GHG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$13.00%
2021$13.0$8.51-35%
2022$8.51$3.86-55%
2023$3.86$3.76-2.6%
2024$3.76$2.52-33%
2025$2.52$1.79-29%
2026 YTD$1.79$1.03-42%

GHG has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 42% so far in 2026.

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