F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GCO
Genesco Inc.
GCO has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
GCO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $23.89 | -33% |
| Fair | 7.3x | $28.93 | -19% |
| Current | 9x | $35.78 | — |
| Forward | 12x | $35.78 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $78.41 | +119% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GCO's PE is in its expensive range at 9.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 12x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
GCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect GCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
GCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.09 | -22% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.96 | +$6.37 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +$3.38 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.25 | +$2.99 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.15 | +$2.46 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.41 | -$2.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.53 | +$0.60 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.61 | -$1.87 |
GCO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over GCO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $529.9M | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $487M | +2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $799.9M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $616.2M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $546M | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $474M | +3.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $745.9M | +0.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $596.3M | +2.9% |
GCO has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.2% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.6% | -0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5.9% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7% | -0.2 points |
GCO's operating margin was 0.7% last quarter, up 3.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over GCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $60M | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | -$118.2M | +$1.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $163.5M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | -$31.5M | +$4.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $71.7M | +262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$119.9M | -$79.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $103.3M | -4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | -$36.2M | -$23.4M |
GCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $74M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over GCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
GCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.7% | +489K shares |
| 1 year | +6.1% | +623K shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -427K shares |
| 5 years | -25% | -3.7M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -3.6M shares |
GCO has 11M diluted shares, up 6.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $12.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $440,000 |
GCO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over GCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
GCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
GCO has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
GCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.5 | Neutral |
GCO's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9x | 18x | 50% below |
| PE % | 68 | 47 | 21 pts above |
GCO is trading at 9.0x earnings, a 50% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
GCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.2 | 1.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $35.6 | 0.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $32.9 | 8.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.9 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.6 | 17% above |
GCO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
GCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $48.2 | $27.9 | -42% |
| 2021 | $27.9 | $59.8 | +114% |
| 2022 | $59.8 | $44.2 | -26% |
| 2023 | $44.2 | $35.2 | -20% |
| 2024 | $35.2 | $42.1 | +20% |
| 2025 | $42.1 | $25.6 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.6 | $35.8 | +40% |
GCO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.