F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GAP

The Gap, Inc.

76
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

GAP has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

GAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE56x113x169x225x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current6.4x$21.25—
Forward8.2x$21.25—
Cheap8.5x$28.27+33%
Fair12x$39.07+84%
Expensive29x$96.48+354%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GAP's PE is in its cheap range at 6.4x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.2x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GAP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails GAP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$31.18
Downside-20%$17.00

Calculated from the latest close: $21.25 on Nov 12.

GAP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GAP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
Q4 2023: $0.10Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.80Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $2.16Q1 2025: $2.20Q2 2025: $2.30Q3 2025: $2.33Q4 2025: $2.23Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.52Q3 2026: $3.33Forward: $2.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.60-22%
Q3 2026$3.33+43%
Q2 2026$2.52+9.6%
Q1 2026$2.13-3.2%
Q4 2025$2.23+3.2%
Q3 2025$2.33+15%
Q2 2025$2.30+28%
Q1 2025$2.20+64%
Q4 2024$2.16+2060%

GAP has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GAP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.7BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.9BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B-2%
Q2 2026$3.5B+1%
Q1 2026$4.2B+2.1%
Q4 2025$3.9B+3%
Q3 2025$3.7B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.5B+2.2%
Q1 2025$4.1B-3.5%
Q4 2024$3.8B+1.6%

GAP's revenue fell from its 2020 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.7B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over GAP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GAP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $568MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $460MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $499MQ2 2025: −$223MQ3 2025: $350MQ4 2025: $153MQ1 2026: $543MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $183M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$183M-48%
Q2 2026$78M+$301M
Q1 2026$543M+8.8%
Q4 2025$153M+7%
Q3 2025$350M-24%
Q2 2025-$223M-$160M
Q1 2025$499M-12%
Q4 2024$143M-33%

GAP generated $957M in free cash flow over the past year, up 24% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

GAP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
Q4 2023: 375MQ1 2024: 376MQ2 2024: 383MQ3 2024: 383MQ4 2024: 383MQ1 2025: 384MQ2 2025: 382MQ3 2025: 379MQ4 2025: 380MQ1 2026: 384MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 362M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.2%-16M shares
1 year-4.5%-17M shares
3 years-2.4%-9M shares
5 years-6.2%-24M shares
Available history-3.7%-14M shares

GAP has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over GAP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GAP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

GAP has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

GAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic35.7Neutral

GAP's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GAP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGAPSector medianRelative
PE6.4x18x65% below
PE %14746 pts below

GAP is trading at 6.4x earnings, a 65% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

GAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.34.5% below
20 week MA$21.30% above
50 week MA$23.69.8% below
100 week MA$23.07.5% below
200 week MA$20.15.7% above

GAP has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over GAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$20.4+15%
2021$20.4$17.3-15%
2022$17.3$12.1-30%
2023$12.1$20.9+73%
2024$20.9$24.3+16%
2025$24.3$26.2+7.8%
2026 YTD$26.2$21.3-19%

GAP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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