F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FTDR

Frontdoor, Inc.

58
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

FTDR has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FTDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

FTDR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$64.94-32%
Forward19x$95.42—
Fair20x$81.26-15%
Current24x$95.42—
Expensive31x$123+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FTDR's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FTDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

FTDR has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FTDR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

FTDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$116.01
Downside-22%$74.59

Calculated from the latest close: $95.42 on Nov 12.

FTDR trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

FTDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.12Q1 2024: $2.28Q2 2024: $2.61Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.01Q1 2025: $3.07Q2 2025: $3.37Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $3.78Q3 2026: $4.01Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+28%
Q3 2026$4.01+15%
Q2 2026$3.78+12%
Q1 2026$3.50+14%
Q4 2025$3.42+14%
Q3 2025$3.49+16%
Q2 2025$3.37+29%
Q1 2025$3.07+35%
Q4 2024$3.01+42%

FTDR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

FTDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $366MQ1 2024: $378MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $540MQ4 2024: $382MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $617MQ3 2025: $618MQ4 2025: $433MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $645MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$655M+6%
Q2 2026$645M+4.5%
Q1 2026$451M+5.9%
Q4 2025$433M+13%
Q3 2025$618M+14%
Q2 2025$617M+14%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$382M+4.4%

FTDR has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

FTDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $117MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $95MQ1 2026: $113MQ2 2026: $120MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65M+12%
Q2 2026$120M0%
Q1 2026$113M-3.4%
Q4 2025$95M+90%
Q3 2025$58M+263%
Q2 2025$120M+32%
Q1 2025$117M+58%
Q4 2024$50M-7.4%

FTDR generated $393M in free cash flow over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

FTDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 77MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 76MQ2 2025: 75MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 75MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-800K shares
1 year-5.5%-4.1M shares
3 years-13%-10.3M shares
5 years-18%-15.6M shares
Available history-17%-14.6M shares

FTDR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over FTDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FTDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.5xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.5xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.2xModerate

FTDR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

FTDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.1Neutral
Stochastic77.8Neutral

FTDR's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FTDR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFTDRSector medianRelative
PE24x18x32% above
PE %614714 pts above

FTDR is trading at 24x earnings, a 32% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

FTDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$84.313% above
20 week MA$81.617% above
50 week MA$69.338% above
100 week MA$62.353% above
200 week MA$49.095% above

FTDR has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

FTDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.3$50.6+7%
2021$50.6$35.6-30%
2022$35.6$19.6-45%
2023$19.6$35.2+80%
2024$35.2$55.7+58%
2025$55.7$58.6+5.3%
2026 YTD$58.6$95.4+63%

FTDR has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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