EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

82
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXPE has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

EXPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EXPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$261—
Current15x$261—
Cheap19x$330+26%
Fair25x$428+64%
Expensive41x$701+169%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXPE's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$397.29
Downside-15%$221.71

Calculated from the latest close: $261.05 on Nov 12.

EXPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails EXPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EXPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.30+42%
Q3 2026$17.09+65%
Q2 2026$16.00+99%
Q1 2026$11.32+35%
Q4 2025$9.81+9.6%
Q3 2025$10.35+34%
Q2 2025$8.06+46%
Q1 2025$8.38+59%
Q4 2024$8.95+69%

EXPE has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

EXPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+12%
Q2 2026$4.3B+14%
Q1 2026$3.4B+15%
Q4 2025$3.5B+11%
Q3 2025$4.4B+8.7%
Q2 2025$3.8B+6.4%
Q1 2025$3B+3.4%
Q4 2024$3.2B+10%

EXPE's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4B-$713M
Q2 2026$1.3B+39%
Q1 2026$3.7B+36%
Q4 2025$119M+1600%
Q3 2025-$686M+$1B
Q2 2025$921M-30%
Q1 2025$2.8B+2%
Q4 2024$7M+$422M

EXPE has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

EXPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-272K shares
1 year-6.7%-8.7M shares
3 years-17%-25.5M shares
5 years-24%-38.2M shares
Available history-18%-27.6M shares

EXPE has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

EXPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

EXPE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EXPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEXPESector medianRelative
PE15x18x15% below
PE %14746 pts below

EXPE is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$273.54.5% below
20 week MA$285.28.5% below
50 week MA$261.90.3% below
100 week MA$226.815% above
200 week MA$176.048% above

EXPE has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

EXPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$127.0+17%
2021$127.0$183.8+45%
2022$183.8$86.4-53%
2023$86.4$151.8+76%
2024$151.8$186.1+23%
2025$186.1$287.6+55%
2026 YTD$287.6$261.1-9.2%

EXPE has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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