EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

82
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXPE's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 15x earnings, below its usual 25x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

EXPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EXPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$261—
Current15x$261—
Cheap19x$330+26%
Fair25x$428+64%
Expensive41x$701+169%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXPE's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

EXPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$397.29
Downside-15%$221.71

Calculated from the latest close: $261.05 on Nov 12.

EXPE's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +52% against −15%.

EXPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.30+42%
Q3 2026$17.09+65%
Q2 2026$16.00+99%
Q1 2026$11.32+35%
Q4 2025$9.81+9.6%
Q3 2025$10.35+34%
Q2 2025$8.06+46%
Q1 2025$8.38+59%
Q4 2024$8.95+69%

EXPE's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.09 over the past year, up 65% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

EXPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+12%
Q2 2026$4.3B+14%
Q1 2026$3.4B+15%
Q4 2025$3.5B+11%
Q3 2025$4.4B+8.7%
Q2 2025$3.8B+6.4%
Q1 2025$3B+3.4%
Q4 2024$3.2B+10%

EXPE's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4B-$713M
Q2 2026$1.3B+39%
Q1 2026$3.7B+36%
Q4 2025$119M+1600%
Q3 2025-$686M+$1B
Q2 2025$921M-30%
Q1 2025$2.8B+2%
Q4 2024$7M+$422M

EXPE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.4B, but it generated $3.7B over the past year.

EXPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-272K shares
1 year-6.7%-8.7M shares
3 years-17%-25.5M shares
5 years-24%-38.2M shares
Available history-18%-27.6M shares

EXPE has 122M diluted shares, down 6.7% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

EXPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

EXPE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EXPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEXPESector medianRelative
PE15x18x15% below
PE %14746 pts below

EXPE is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

EXPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$273.54.5% below
20 week MA$285.28.5% below
50 week MA$261.90.3% below
100 week MA$226.815% above
200 week MA$176.048% above

EXPE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 48% above its 200-week average.

EXPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$127.0+17%
2021$127.0$183.8+45%
2022$183.8$86.4-53%
2023$86.4$151.8+76%
2024$151.8$186.1+23%
2025$186.1$287.6+55%
2026 YTD$287.6$261.1-9.2%

EXPE has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 9.2% so far in 2026.

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