EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
EXPE has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
EXPE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EXPE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $261 | — |
| Current | 15x | $261 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $330 | +26% |
| Fair | 25x | $428 | +64% |
| Expensive | 41x | $701 | +169% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXPE's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXPE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
EXPE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.30 | +42% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.09 | +65% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.00 | +99% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.32 | +35% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.81 | +9.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.35 | +34% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.06 | +46% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.38 | +59% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.95 | +69% |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
EXPE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.4B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.4B | +8.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.8B | +6.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.2B | +10% |
EXPE's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.3% | +9.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +5.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +3.2 points |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EXPE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.4B | -$713M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.7B | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $119M | +1600% |
| Q3 2025 | -$686M | +$1B |
| Q2 2025 | $921M | -30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8B | +2% |
| Q4 2024 | $7M | +$422M |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
EXPE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -272K shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -8.7M shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -25.5M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -38.2M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -27.6M shares |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $669M |
| Q2 2026 | $270M |
| Q1 2026 | $788M |
| Q4 2025 | $327M |
| Q3 2025 | $531M |
| Q2 2025 | $688M |
| Q1 2025 | $384M |
| Q4 2024 | $198M |
EXPE spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
EXPE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Very low |
EXPE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EXPE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.0 | Neutral |
EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EXPE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 18x | 15% below |
| PE % | 1 | 47 | 46 pts below |
EXPE is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXPE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $273.5 | 4.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $285.2 | 8.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $261.9 | 0.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $226.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $176.0 | 48% above |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
EXPE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $108.3 | $127.0 | +17% |
| 2021 | $127.0 | $183.8 | +45% |
| 2022 | $183.8 | $86.4 | -53% |
| 2023 | $86.4 | $151.8 | +76% |
| 2024 | $151.8 | $186.1 | +23% |
| 2025 | $186.1 | $287.6 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $287.6 | $261.1 | -9.2% |
EXPE has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.