EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

82
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXPE has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

EXPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EXPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$261—
Current15x$261—
Cheap19x$330+26%
Fair25x$428+64%
Expensive41x$701+169%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXPE's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXPE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$397.29
Downside-15%$221.71

Calculated from the latest close: $261.05 on Nov 12.

EXPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails EXPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EXPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.30+42%
Q3 2026$17.09+65%
Q2 2026$16.00+99%
Q1 2026$11.32+35%
Q4 2025$9.81+9.6%
Q3 2025$10.35+34%
Q2 2025$8.06+46%
Q1 2025$8.38+59%
Q4 2024$8.95+69%

EXPE has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

EXPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+12%
Q2 2026$4.3B+14%
Q1 2026$3.4B+15%
Q4 2025$3.5B+11%
Q3 2025$4.4B+8.7%
Q2 2025$3.8B+6.4%
Q1 2025$3B+3.4%
Q4 2024$3.2B+10%

EXPE's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over EXPE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EXPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4B-$713M
Q2 2026$1.3B+39%
Q1 2026$3.7B+36%
Q4 2025$119M+1600%
Q3 2025-$686M+$1B
Q2 2025$921M-30%
Q1 2025$2.8B+2%
Q4 2024$7M+$422M

EXPE has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

EXPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-272K shares
1 year-6.7%-8.7M shares
3 years-17%-25.5M shares
5 years-24%-38.2M shares
Available history-18%-27.6M shares

EXPE has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

EXPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

EXPE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EXPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEXPESector medianRelative
PE15x18x15% below
PE %14746 pts below

EXPE is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$273.54.5% below
20 week MA$285.28.5% below
50 week MA$261.90.3% below
100 week MA$226.815% above
200 week MA$176.048% above

EXPE has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

EXPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$127.0+17%
2021$127.0$183.8+45%
2022$183.8$86.4-53%
2023$86.4$151.8+76%
2024$151.8$186.1+23%
2025$186.1$287.6+55%
2026 YTD$287.6$261.1-9.2%

EXPE has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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