EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

82
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXPE has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

EXPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

EXPE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

EXPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x87x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$261—
Current15x$261—
Cheap19x$330+26%
Fair25x$428+64%
Expensive41x$701+169%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXPE's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

EXPE has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$397.29
Downside-15%$221.71

Calculated from the latest close: $261.05 on Nov 12.

EXPE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails EXPE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EXPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
Q4 2023: $5.31Q1 2024: $5.27Q2 2024: $5.53Q3 2024: $7.70Q4 2024: $8.95Q1 2025: $8.38Q2 2025: $8.06Q3 2025: $10.35Q4 2025: $9.81Q1 2026: $11.32Q2 2026: $16.00Q3 2026: $17.09Forward: $24.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.30+42%
Q3 2026$17.09+65%
Q2 2026$16.00+99%
Q1 2026$11.32+35%
Q4 2025$9.81+9.6%
Q3 2025$10.35+34%
Q2 2025$8.06+46%
Q1 2025$8.38+59%
Q4 2024$8.95+69%

EXPE has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EXPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $3.8BQ3 2025: $4.4BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+12%
Q2 2026$4.3B+14%
Q1 2026$3.4B+15%
Q4 2025$3.5B+11%
Q3 2025$4.4B+8.7%
Q2 2025$3.8B+6.4%
Q1 2025$3B+3.4%
Q4 2024$3.2B+10%

EXPE has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
Q4 2023: −$415MQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: −$1.7BQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $921MQ3 2025: −$686MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4B-$713M
Q2 2026$1.3B+39%
Q1 2026$3.7B+36%
Q4 2025$119M+1600%
Q3 2025-$686M+$1B
Q2 2025$921M-30%
Q1 2025$2.8B+2%
Q4 2024$7M+$422M

EXPE has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

EXPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 138MQ1 2025: 129MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 131MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 122MQ2 2026: 123MQ3 2026: 122M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-272K shares
1 year-6.7%-8.7M shares
3 years-17%-25.5M shares
5 years-24%-38.2M shares
Available history-18%-27.6M shares

EXPE has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

EXPE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

EXPE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over EXPE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EXPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

EXPE's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

EXPE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEXPESector medianRelative
PE15x18x15% below
PE %14746 pts below

EXPE is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$273.54.5% below
20 week MA$285.28.5% below
50 week MA$261.90.3% below
100 week MA$226.815% above
200 week MA$176.048% above

EXPE has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

EXPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.3$127.0+17%
2021$127.0$183.8+45%
2022$183.8$86.4-53%
2023$86.4$151.8+76%
2024$151.8$186.1+23%
2025$186.1$287.6+55%
2026 YTD$287.6$261.1-9.2%

EXPE has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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