EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over EXPD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
EXPD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
EXPD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
EXPD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $110 | -44% |
| Fair | 22x | $171 | -13% |
| Forward | 22x | $196 | — |
| Current | 25x | $196 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $202 | +3.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXPD's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over EXPD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EXPD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for EXPD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
EXPD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.75 | +11% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.89 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.88 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.19 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.95 | +4% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.13 | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.12 | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.02 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.72 | +14% |
EXPD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.89 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over EXPD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
EXPD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.1B | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | -3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.9B | -3.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +30% |
EXPD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $4.1B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.8% | -1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +1.4 points |
EXPD's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 0.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over EXPD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over EXPD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EXPD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $194.3M | +2.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $166.6M | +2% |
| Q1 2026 | $296.6M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $270.3M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $190.3M | +145% |
| Q2 2025 | $163.3M | +37% |
| Q1 2025 | $329.5M | +34% |
| Q4 2024 | $239.7M | +62% |
EXPD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $928M over the past year, about the same as the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over EXPD on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
EXPD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -3.8% | -5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -17.9M shares |
| 5 years | -24% | -41.4M shares |
| Available history | -25% | -44.1M shares |
EXPD has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $197.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $354.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $287.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $46.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $212.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $231.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $177.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $252.2M |
EXPD spent $886M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 1.5% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
EXPD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
EXPD has the edge over VRT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has more cash than debt.
EXPD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.5 | Neutral |
EXPD's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
EXPD PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | EXPD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 24x | 3.2% above |
| PE % | 74 | 58 | 16 pts above |
EXPD has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
EXPD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $193.1 | 1.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $186.3 | 5% above |
| 50 week MA | $166.5 | 18% above |
| 100 week MA | $142.0 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $130.2 | 50% above |
EXPD has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
EXPD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.5 | $94.6 | +22% |
| 2021 | $94.6 | $130.8 | +38% |
| 2022 | $130.8 | $107.3 | -18% |
| 2023 | $107.3 | $127.2 | +19% |
| 2024 | $127.2 | $111.4 | -12% |
| 2025 | $111.4 | $152.2 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $195.7 | +29% |
EXPD has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.