EXPD

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

65
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

EXPD's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 19% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 25x earnings, it's trading above its usual 22x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

EXPD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Stable
Strong

EXPD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

EXPD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$110-44%
Fair22x$171-13%
Forward22x$196—
Current25x$196—
Expensive26x$202+3.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXPD's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

EXPD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for EXPD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXPD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$254.10
Downside-9%$178.24

Calculated from the latest close: $195.67 on Nov 12.

EXPD's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +30% against −8.9%.

EXPD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.01Q1 2024: $4.73Q2 2024: $4.67Q3 2024: $5.14Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.02Q2 2025: $6.12Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $5.95Q1 2026: $6.19Q2 2026: $6.88Q3 2026: $7.89Forward: $8.75
Q4 2023: $5.01Q1 2024: $4.73Q2 2024: $4.67Q3 2024: $5.14Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.02Q2 2025: $6.12Q3 2025: $6.13Q4 2025: $5.95Q1 2026: $6.19Q2 2026: $6.88Q3 2026: $7.89Forward: $8.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.75+11%
Q3 2026$7.89+29%
Q2 2026$6.88+12%
Q1 2026$6.19+2.8%
Q4 2025$5.95+4%
Q3 2025$6.13+19%
Q2 2025$6.12+31%
Q1 2025$6.02+27%
Q4 2024$5.72+14%

EXPD's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.89 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

EXPD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.1B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.9BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.1B+42%
Q2 2026$3.5B+32%
Q1 2026$2.8B+4.4%
Q4 2025$2.9B-3.3%
Q3 2025$2.9B-3.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+8.7%
Q1 2025$2.7B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+30%

EXPD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $4.1B last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXPD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $148MQ1 2024: $247MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $240MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $190MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $148MQ1 2024: $247MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $240MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $190MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $167MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$194.3M+2.1%
Q2 2026$166.6M+2%
Q1 2026$296.6M-10%
Q4 2025$270.3M+13%
Q3 2025$190.3M+145%
Q2 2025$163.3M+37%
Q1 2025$329.5M+34%
Q4 2024$239.7M+62%

EXPD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $928M over the past year, about the same as the year before.

EXPD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 130M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 137MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 131MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1.3M shares
1 year-3.8%-5.2M shares
3 years-12%-17.9M shares
5 years-24%-41.4M shares
Available history-25%-44.1M shares

EXPD has 130M diluted shares, down 3.8% from a year ago, with $886M in buybacks over the past year.

EXPD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.5xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

EXPD has more cash than debt.

EXPD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.6Neutral
Stochastic66.5Neutral

EXPD's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

EXPD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricEXPDSector medianRelative
PE25x24x3.2% above
PE %745816 pts above

EXPD is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

EXPD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$193.11.4% above
20 week MA$186.35% above
50 week MA$166.518% above
100 week MA$142.038% above
200 week MA$130.250% above

EXPD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% above its 200-week average.

EXPD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.5$94.6+22%
2021$94.6$130.8+38%
2022$130.8$107.3-18%
2023$107.3$127.2+19%
2024$127.2$111.4-12%
2025$111.4$152.2+37%
2026 YTD$152.2$195.7+29%

EXPD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 29% so far in 2026.

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