EXFY

Expensify, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score EXFY yet.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

EXFY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

EXFY's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EXFY PE Valuation

EXFY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

EXFY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect EXFY's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over EXFY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

EXFY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare EXFY and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare EXFY and MSFT's risk to reward.

EXFY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.47Q2 2024: $-0.36Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.09
Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.47Q2 2024: $-0.36Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.19Q4 2025: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.09—
Q3 2026-$0.17+$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.16+$0.02
Q1 2026-$0.22-$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.23-$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.19-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.18
Q1 2025-$0.11+$0.36
Q4 2024-$0.12+$0.38

EXFY is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $0.84 at its worst in mid-2022.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over EXFY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EXFY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $35MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $33MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$33M-5.8%
Q2 2026$33.9M-5.3%
Q1 2026$34M-5.8%
Q4 2025$35.2M-4.9%
Q3 2025$35.1M-1%
Q2 2025$35.8M+7.4%
Q1 2025$36.1M+7.6%
Q4 2024$37M+5.1%

EXFY's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $33M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over EXFY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXFY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$824,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $118,000Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$824,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $118,000Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.8M-9.1%
Q1 2026$118K-98%
Q4 2025$2.2M-70%
Q3 2025$4.2M+13%
Q1 2025$4.8M+38%
Q4 2024$7.4M+$8.2M
Q3 2024$3.7M+$9.4M
Q2 2024$9.3M+$10.2M

MSFT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 7.4% versus its history, compared with EXFY at down 24%.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

EXFY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 93MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.1%-3.9M shares
1 year-1.1%-1M shares
3 years+11%+9.1M shares
5 years+165%+57M shares
Available history+13%+10.5M shares

EXFY has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EXFY Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -8.7x
Q4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -8.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 20210.2xVery low
Q1 20210.6xVery low
Q4 20202.1xModerate
Q1 2020-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 201927.5xHigh

EXFY has more cash than debt.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EXFY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic32.6Neutral

EXFY's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

EXFY PE vs Technology Sector

EXFY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

EXFY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.2718% below
20 week MA$2.2015% below
50 week MA$1.6116% above
100 week MA$2.069.7% below
200 week MA$3.0138% below

EXFY's trend is mixed: it's above one of its five weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over EXFY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EXFY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$47.6$36.9-22%
2022$36.9$8.61-77%
2023$8.61$2.47-71%
2024$2.47$3.47+40%
2025$3.47$1.55-55%
2026 YTD$1.55$1.86+20%

EXFY has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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