EXEL
Exelixis, Inc.
EXEL has a slight edge over OSCR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
OSCR
Oscar Health, Inc.
OSCR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EXEL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
EXEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
OSCR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
EXEL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $60.50 | -13% |
| Forward | 18x | $69.84 | — |
| Current | 21x | $69.84 | — |
| Fair | 24x | $79.95 | +14% |
| Expensive | 44x | $146 | +109% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXEL's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
OSCR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $31.94 | — |
| Current | 13x | $31.94 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $52.73 | +65% |
| Fair | 35x | $87.23 | +173% |
| Expensive | 130x | $322 | +907% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OSCR has the edge over EXEL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EXEL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXEL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OSCR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.
EXEL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.82 | +14% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.35 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.19 | +54% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.02 | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.78 | +58% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.36 | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.07 | +77% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.19 | +237% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.76 | +171% |
EXEL has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OSCR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.61 | +5.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.47 | +$3.47 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.45 | +$2.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.54 | -235% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.69 | -1790% |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.00 | -$0.92 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.69 | -$0.54 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.40 | +$0.82 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.10 | +$1.32 |
OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
EXEL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $658.7M | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $628.7M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $610.8M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $598.7M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $597.8M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $568.3M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $555.4M | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $566.8M | +18% |
EXEL's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $659M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 41% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q2 2025 | 38% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 34% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | +12 points |
EXEL has the edge over OSCR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OSCR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.9B | +70% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $3B | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $3B | +42% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.4B | +67% |
OSCR has the edge over EXEL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -12% | -5.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.3% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | -8.1% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.2% | +4 points |
OSCR's operating margin was 3.5% last quarter, up 7.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EXEL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $277.5M | -3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $300.9M | +552% |
| Q1 2026 | $250.3M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $332.4M | +41% |
| Q3 2025 | $288.8M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.2M | -59% |
| Q1 2025 | $208.5M | +253% |
| Q4 2024 | $236.3M | +$238.9M |
EXEL generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 49% from the year before.
OSCR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.2B | -$238.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $2.1B | +316% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +200% |
| Q4 2025 | $662.8M | +95% |
| Q3 2025 | -$973.7M | -$466M |
| Q2 2025 | $499.8M | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $869.5M | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $340M | +17% |
OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.
EXEL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -3.9M shares |
| 1 year | -8.2% | -22.8M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -63.5M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -66.3M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -59.3M shares |
EXEL has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $250M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $430.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $257.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $104M |
| Q2 2025 | $301.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $283.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $190.4M |
EXEL spent $1.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 43% from the year before.
OSCR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.9% | +13M shares |
| 1 year | +34% | +87.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +123M shares |
| 5 years | +66% | +138M shares |
| Available history | +71% | +143M shares |
OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
EXEL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
EXEL has more cash than debt.
OSCR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -110.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -9.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -13.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -10.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -24.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -217.7x | Net Cash |
OSCR has the edge over EXEL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EXEL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 78.5 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 84.7 | Overbought |
EXEL's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
OSCR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.9 | Neutral |
OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
EXEL PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | EXEL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 26x | 19% below |
| PE % | 36 | 29 | 7 pts above |
EXEL is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.
OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | OSCR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 26x | 50% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
OSCR has the edge over EXEL on valuation relative to its sector.
EXEL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $64.0 | 9.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $58.8 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $50.9 | 37% above |
| 100 week MA | $44.8 | 56% above |
| 200 week MA | $33.7 | 107% above |
EXEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 107% above its 200-week average.
OSCR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $31.2 | 2.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $31.1 | 2.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.9 | 39% above |
| 100 week MA | $19.3 | 65% above |
| 200 week MA | $15.5 | 106% above |
OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.
EXEL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.1 | $20.7 | +14% |
| 2021 | $20.7 | $19.3 | -6.9% |
| 2022 | $19.3 | $15.8 | -18% |
| 2023 | $15.8 | $24.0 | +52% |
| 2024 | $24.0 | $33.8 | +41% |
| 2025 | $33.8 | $46.2 | +37% |
| 2026 YTD | $46.2 | $69.8 | +51% |
EXEL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 51% so far in 2026.
OSCR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $31.0 | $8.02 | -74% |
| 2022 | $8.02 | $2.21 | -72% |
| 2023 | $2.21 | $9.15 | +314% |
| 2024 | $9.15 | $13.8 | +51% |
| 2025 | $13.8 | $14.9 | +8% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $31.9 | +114% |
OSCR has the edge over EXEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.