EXEL

Exelixis, Inc.

71
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

EXEL's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 5 points to 40% and it turned 47% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 21x earnings, it's trading below its usual 24x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

EXEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

EXEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EXEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x100x133x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x100x133x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$60.50-13%
Forward18x$69.84—
Current21x$69.84—
Fair24x$79.95+14%
Expensive44x$146+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXEL's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

EXEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXEL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$83.59
Downside-18%$57.18

Calculated from the latest close: $69.84 on Nov 12.

EXEL's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +20% against −18%.

EXEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $1.76Q2 2025: $2.19Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $3.02Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $3.35Forward: $3.82
Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $1.17Q3 2024: $1.57Q1 2025: $1.76Q2 2025: $2.19Q3 2025: $2.07Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.78Q2 2026: $3.02Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $3.35Forward: $3.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.82+14%
Q3 2026$3.35+42%
Q2 2026$3.19+54%
Q1 2026$3.02+38%
Q4 2025$2.78+58%
Q3 2025$2.36+50%
Q2 2025$2.07+77%
Q1 2025$2.19+237%
Q4 2024$1.76+171%

EXEL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.35 over the past year, up 42% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

EXEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $425MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $540MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $598MQ1 2026: $599MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $629MQ4 2026: $659M
Q4 2023: $480MQ1 2024: $425MQ2 2024: $637MQ3 2024: $540MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $555MQ3 2025: $568MQ4 2025: $598MQ1 2026: $599MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $629MQ4 2026: $659M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$658.7M+10%
Q2 2026$628.7M+11%
Q1 2026$610.8M+10%
Q4 2025$598.7M+5.6%
Q3 2025$597.8M+11%
Q2 2025$568.3M-11%
Q1 2025$555.4M+31%
Q4 2024$566.8M+18%

EXEL's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $659M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $113MQ3 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $236MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $289MQ1 2026: $332MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $301MQ4 2026: $277M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $113MQ3 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $236MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $289MQ1 2026: $332MQ2 2026: $250MQ3 2026: $301MQ4 2026: $277M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$277.5M-3.9%
Q2 2026$300.9M+552%
Q1 2026$250.3M+20%
Q4 2025$332.4M+41%
Q3 2025$288.8M+9.8%
Q2 2025$46.2M-59%
Q1 2025$208.5M+253%
Q4 2024$236.3M+$238.9M

EXEL generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 49% from the year before.

EXEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 321MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 294MQ3 2024: 291MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 288MQ3 2025: 284MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 267MQ3 2026: 260MQ4 2026: 256M
Q4 2023: 321MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 294MQ3 2024: 291MQ1 2025: 296MQ2 2025: 288MQ3 2025: 284MQ4 2025: 279MQ1 2026: 282MQ2 2026: 267MQ3 2026: 260MQ4 2026: 256M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-3.9M shares
1 year-8.2%-22.8M shares
3 years-20%-63.5M shares
5 years-21%-66.3M shares
Available history-19%-59.3M shares

EXEL has 256M diluted shares, down 8.2% from a year ago, with $1.3B in buybacks over the past year.

EXEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3xQ4 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

EXEL has more cash than debt.

EXEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.5Overbought
Stochastic84.7Overbought

EXEL's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

EXEL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricEXELSector medianRelative
PE21x26x19% below
PE %36297 pts above

EXEL is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

EXEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.09.1% above
20 week MA$58.819% above
50 week MA$50.937% above
100 week MA$44.856% above
200 week MA$33.7107% above

EXEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 107% above its 200-week average.

EXEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.1$20.7+14%
2021$20.7$19.3-6.9%
2022$19.3$15.8-18%
2023$15.8$24.0+52%
2024$24.0$33.8+41%
2025$33.8$46.2+37%
2026 YTD$46.2$69.8+51%

EXEL has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 51% so far in 2026.

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