EXC
Exelon Corporation
EXC has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
SMR
NuScale Power Corporation
SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EXC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
EXC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
SMR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EXC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $45.63 | — |
| Cheap | 16x | $39.85 | -13% |
| Fair | 17x | $44.12 | -3.3% |
| Current | 18x | $45.63 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $51.89 | +14% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SMR PE Valuation
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXC, with profitability improving.
SMR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
EXC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +17% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.57 | -7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.73 | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.73 | +1.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.73 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.79 | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.63 | +7.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.69 | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.45 | +4.7% |
EXC has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
SMR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.72 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.46 | -$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.43 | -$0.96 |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.86 | -$1.91 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.19 | -$0.16 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.37 | -$0.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.47 | -$0.67 |
SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.
EXC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.3B | +9.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $6B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2B | +7.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.4B | -1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +9% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.4B | +1.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.7B | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +1.9% |
EXC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $7.3B last quarter, up 9.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 16% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +2.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -0.3 points |
EXC has the edge over SMR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $281K | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $75K | -99% |
| Q1 2026 | $565K | -96% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8M | -95% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.2M | +1635% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.1M | +733% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.4M | +870% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.2M | +651% |
SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -23068% | -16535 points |
| Q2 2026 | -85337% | -84802 points |
| Q1 2026 | -10181% | -9917 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4022% | -3988 points |
| Q3 2025 | -6533% | +2103 points |
| Q2 2025 | -535% | +3796 points |
| Q1 2025 | -264% | +2925 points |
| Q4 2024 | -35% | +1524 points |
SMR's operating margin was −23068% last quarter, down 16535 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2022.
EXC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$506M | -410% |
| Q2 2026 | -$255M | +$247M |
| Q1 2026 | -$634M | +$112M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$680M |
| Q3 2025 | $163M | +$169M |
| Q2 2025 | -$502M | -$265M |
| Q1 2025 | -$746M | +$29M |
| Q4 2024 | -$510M | -$53M |
EXC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 10% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.
SMR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$58.6M | -$25.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$316.2M | -$293.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$204.1M | -$177.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$33.3M | +$2.7M |
| Q1 2025 | -$22.9M | +$10.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.5M | +$46.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$12.7M | +$15M |
| Q2 2024 | -$36M | +$4.5M |
SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$608M over the past year, against −$95M the year before.
EXC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +9M shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +24M shares |
| 3 years | +4% | +40M shares |
| 5 years | +5.8% | +57M shares |
| Available history | +6.5% | +63M shares |
EXC has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
SMR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +45.9M shares |
| 1 year | +178% | +263M shares |
| 3 years | +448% | +336M shares |
SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
EXC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.8x | High |
EXC's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.5 years a year ago.
SMR Net Leverage
SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EXC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.9 | Neutral |
EXC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
SMR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 8.6 | Oversold |
SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
EXC PE vs Utilities Sector
| Metric | EXC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 20x | 13% below |
| PE % | 59 | 44 | 15 pts above |
EXC is trading at 18x earnings, a 13% discount to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.
SMR PE vs Utilities Sector
SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EXC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $43.5 | 4.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.5 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $45.5 | 0.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $44.6 | 2.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.7 | 9.4% above |
EXC has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.26 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.88 | 39% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.4 | 58% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.2 | 76% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.4 | 67% below |
SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.
EXC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $32.4 | $29.8 | -7.9% |
| 2021 | $29.8 | $38.9 | +30% |
| 2022 | $38.9 | $43.0 | +11% |
| 2023 | $43.0 | $35.9 | -17% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $37.4 | +4.3% |
| 2025 | $37.4 | $43.6 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.6 | $45.6 | +4.8% |
EXC has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.1 | $10.3 | +1.2% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $10.1 | -1.9% |
| 2022 | $10.1 | $10.1 | +0.5% |
| 2023 | $10.1 | $3.29 | -67% |
| 2024 | $3.29 | $19.5 | +493% |
| 2025 | $19.5 | $14.9 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.9 | $4.82 | -68% |
SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to −67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.