EXC

Exelon Corporation

52
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

EXC's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 6.7%, but free cash flow was negative. At 18x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 17x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

EXC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Weak
Weak

EXC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

EXC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$45.63—
Cheap16x$39.85-13%
Fair17x$44.12-3.3%
Current18x$45.63—
Expensive20x$51.89+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXC's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

EXC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXC, with profitability improving.

EXC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$51.71
Downside-10%$41.04

Calculated from the latest close: $45.63 on Nov 12.

EXC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +13% against −10%.

EXC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $2.44Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.45Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.79Q4 2025: $2.73Q1 2026: $2.73Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $2.57Forward: $3.00
Q4 2023: $2.34Q1 2024: $2.33Q2 2024: $2.44Q3 2024: $2.44Q4 2024: $2.45Q1 2025: $2.69Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $2.79Q4 2025: $2.73Q1 2026: $2.73Q2 2026: $2.73Q3 2026: $2.57Forward: $3.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.00+17%
Q3 2026$2.57-7.9%
Q2 2026$2.73+3.8%
Q1 2026$2.73+1.5%
Q4 2025$2.73+11%
Q3 2025$2.79+14%
Q2 2025$2.63+7.8%
Q1 2025$2.69+15%
Q4 2024$2.45+4.7%

EXC earned $2.57 per share over the past year, down 7.9% from the year before.

EXC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $6.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $7.3B
Q4 2023: $5.4BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $6.2BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6.7BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $7.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.3B+9.2%
Q2 2026$6B+10%
Q1 2026$7.2B+7.9%
Q4 2025$5.4B-1.1%
Q3 2025$6.7B+9%
Q2 2025$5.4B+1.2%
Q1 2025$6.7B+11%
Q4 2024$5.5B+1.9%

EXC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $7.3B last quarter, up 9.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$457MQ1 2024: −$775MQ2 2024: −$237MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510MQ1 2025: −$746MQ2 2025: −$502MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$634MQ2 2026: −$255MQ3 2026: −$506M
Q4 2023: −$457MQ1 2024: −$775MQ2 2024: −$237MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$510MQ1 2025: −$746MQ2 2025: −$502MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$634MQ2 2026: −$255MQ3 2026: −$506M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$506M-410%
Q2 2026-$255M+$247M
Q1 2026-$634M+$112M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$680M
Q3 2025$163M+$169M
Q2 2025-$502M-$265M
Q1 2025-$746M+$29M
Q4 2024-$510M-$53M

EXC has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$2.6B over the past year, against −$1.6B the year before.

EXC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 997MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 997MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+9M shares
1 year+2.4%+24M shares
3 years+4%+40M shares
5 years+5.8%+57M shares
Available history+6.5%+63M shares

EXC has 1B diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

EXC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 5.7x
Q4 2023: 5.8xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 5.8xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.7xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.6xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.7xHigh
Q2 20265.6xHigh
Q1 20265.6xHigh
Q4 20255.6xHigh
Q3 20255.5xHigh
Q2 20255.7xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20245.8xHigh

EXC's net debt is about 5.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.5 years a year ago.

EXC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic77.9Neutral

EXC's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

EXC PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricEXCSector medianRelative
PE18x20x13% below
PE %594415 pts above

EXC is trading at 18x earnings, a 13% discount to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

EXC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.54.8% above
20 week MA$44.52.5% above
50 week MA$45.50.4% above
100 week MA$44.62.3% above
200 week MA$41.79.4% above

EXC is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.4% above its 200-week average.

EXC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.4$29.8-7.9%
2021$29.8$38.9+30%
2022$38.9$43.0+11%
2023$43.0$35.9-17%
2024$35.9$37.4+4.3%
2025$37.4$43.6+16%
2026 YTD$43.6$45.6+4.8%

EXC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.8% so far in 2026.

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