ESTC

Elastic N.V.

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ESTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over ESTC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ESTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

ESTC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ESTC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x129x194x259x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x129x194x259x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$89.06—
Cheap25x$86.56-2.8%
Current25x$89.06—
Fair163x$570+540%
Expensive207x$724+713%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESTC's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over ESTC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ESTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESTC, with profitability improving.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over ESTC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

ESTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$135.56
Downside-22%$69.33

Calculated from the latest close: $89.06 on Nov 12.

ESTC trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ESTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ESTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-1.02Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.50Forward: $3.67
Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-1.02Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.50Forward: $3.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.67+4.9%
Q3 2026$3.50+$4.29
Q2 2026$3.43+$4.47
Q1 2026-$0.79+$0.45
Q4 2025-$1.02-267%
Q3 2025-$0.79-230%
Q2 2025-$1.04-276%
Q1 2025-$1.24-364%
Q4 2024$0.61+$2.59

ESTC has returned to profit: it earned $3.50 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over ESTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $328MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $347MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $415MQ4 2025: $423MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $478M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $328MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $347MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $415MQ4 2025: $423MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $478M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$478.1M+15%
Q2 2026$450.7M+16%
Q1 2026$449.9M+18%
Q4 2025$423.5M+16%
Q3 2025$415.3M+20%
Q2 2025$388.4M+16%
Q1 2025$382.1M+17%
Q4 2024$365.4M+18%

ESTC's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $478M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over ESTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ESTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131.4M+26%
Q2 2026$149.8M+77%
Q1 2026$41.8M-52%
Q4 2025$26M-31%
Q3 2025$104.2M+100%
Q2 2025$84.9M+41%
Q1 2025$87.3M+70%
Q4 2024$37.7M+$40.9M

ESTC generated $349M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over ESTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.6M shares
1 year-1.2%-1.3M shares
3 years+6.8%+6.7M shares
5 years+15%+13.4M shares
Available history+35%+26.9M shares

ESTC has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ESTC Net Leverage

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

ESTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

ESTC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

ESTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricESTCSector medianRelative
PE25x28x8.7% below
PE %223513 pts below

ESTC has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ESTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.44.6% below
20 week MA$83.17.2% above
50 week MA$69.229% above
100 week MA$79.412% above
200 week MA$83.17.2% above

ESTC has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 7.2% above its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.

ESTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.0$156.0+140%
2021$156.0$124.0-21%
2022$124.0$51.4-59%
2023$51.4$112.7+119%
2024$112.7$101.5-9.9%
2025$101.5$77.0-24%
2026 YTD$77.0$89.1+16%

ESTC has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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