ESTC
Elastic N.V.
ESTC's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and it turned 19% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 25x earnings, it's trading less than half its usual 165x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.
ESTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
ESTC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ESTC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 24x | $89.06 | — |
| Cheap | 25x | $86.56 | -2.8% |
| Current | 25x | $89.06 | — |
| Fair | 163x | $570 | +540% |
| Expensive | 207x | $724 | +713% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ESTC's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
ESTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESTC, with profitability improving.
ESTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.67 | +4.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.50 | +$4.29 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.43 | +$4.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.79 | +$0.45 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.02 | -267% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.79 | -230% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.04 | -276% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.24 | -364% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.61 | +$2.59 |
ESTC has returned to profit: it earned $3.50 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ESTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $478.1M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $450.7M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $449.9M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $423.5M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $415.3M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $388.4M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $382.1M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $365.4M | +18% |
ESTC's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $478M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.9% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.6% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | +6.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2% | +5.7 points |
ESTC's operating margin was −4.9% last quarter, down 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ESTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $131.4M | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $149.8M | +77% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.8M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $26M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $104.2M | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.9M | +41% |
| Q1 2025 | $87.3M | +70% |
| Q4 2024 | $37.7M | +$40.9M |
ESTC generated $349M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
ESTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -1.2% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | +6.8% | +6.7M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +13.4M shares |
| Available history | +35% | +26.9M shares |
ESTC has 105M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40M |
| Q2 2026 | $40M |
| Q1 2026 | $190.9M |
ESTC Net Leverage
ESTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.6 | Neutral |
ESTC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
ESTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ESTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 28x | 8.7% below |
| PE % | 22 | 35 | 13 pts below |
ESTC is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ESTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $93.4 | 4.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $83.1 | 7.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $69.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $79.4 | 12% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.1 | 7.2% above |
ESTC has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 7.2% above its 200-week average.
ESTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $65.0 | $156.0 | +140% |
| 2021 | $156.0 | $124.0 | -21% |
| 2022 | $124.0 | $51.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $51.4 | $112.7 | +119% |
| 2024 | $112.7 | $101.5 | -9.9% |
| 2025 | $101.5 | $77.0 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $77.0 | $89.1 | +16% |
ESTC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +140% in 2020 to −59% in 2022. It's up 16% so far in 2026.