ESTC

Elastic N.V.

67
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

ESTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over ESTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ESTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

ESTC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ESTC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x129x194x259x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE65x129x194x259x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$89.06—
Cheap25x$86.56-2.8%
Current25x$89.06—
Fair163x$570+540%
Expensive207x$724+713%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESTC has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

ESTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESTC, with profitability improving.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

MU has the edge over ESTC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

ESTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$135.56
Downside-22%$69.33

Calculated from the latest close: $89.06 on Nov 12.

ESTC trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ESTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ESTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-1.02Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.50Forward: $3.67
Q4 2023: $-1.98Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $0.59Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $-1.24Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.79Q4 2025: $-1.02Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $3.43Q3 2026: $3.50Forward: $3.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.67+4.9%
Q3 2026$3.50+$4.29
Q2 2026$3.43+$4.47
Q1 2026-$0.79+$0.45
Q4 2025-$1.02-267%
Q3 2025-$0.79-230%
Q2 2025-$1.04-276%
Q1 2025-$1.24-364%
Q4 2024$0.61+$2.59

ESTC has returned to profit: it earned $3.50 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over ESTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $328MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $347MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $415MQ4 2025: $423MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $478M
Q4 2023: $311MQ1 2024: $328MQ2 2024: $335MQ3 2024: $347MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $382MQ2 2025: $388MQ3 2025: $415MQ4 2025: $423MQ1 2026: $450MQ2 2026: $451MQ3 2026: $478M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$478.1M+15%
Q2 2026$450.7M+16%
Q1 2026$449.9M+18%
Q4 2025$423.5M+16%
Q3 2025$415.3M+20%
Q2 2025$388.4M+16%
Q1 2025$382.1M+17%
Q4 2024$365.4M+18%

ESTC's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $478M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over ESTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ESTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $85MQ3 2025: $104MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $150MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$131.4M+26%
Q2 2026$149.8M+77%
Q1 2026$41.8M-52%
Q4 2025$26M-31%
Q3 2025$104.2M+100%
Q2 2025$84.9M+41%
Q1 2025$87.3M+70%
Q4 2024$37.7M+$40.9M

ESTC generated $349M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over ESTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ESTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 99MQ1 2024: 105MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 102MQ4 2024: 103MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 104MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 106MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-2.6M shares
1 year-1.2%-1.3M shares
3 years+6.8%+6.7M shares
5 years+15%+13.4M shares
Available history+35%+26.9M shares

ESTC has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

ESTC Net Leverage

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

ESTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.5Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

ESTC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

ESTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricESTCSector medianRelative
PE25x28x8.7% below
PE %223513 pts below

ESTC is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over ESTC on valuation relative to its sector.

ESTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.44.6% below
20 week MA$83.17.2% above
50 week MA$69.229% above
100 week MA$79.412% above
200 week MA$83.17.2% above

ESTC has the edge over MU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

ESTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.0$156.0+140%
2021$156.0$124.0-21%
2022$124.0$51.4-59%
2023$51.4$112.7+119%
2024$112.7$101.5-9.9%
2025$101.5$77.0-24%
2026 YTD$77.0$89.1+16%

ESTC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +140% in 2020 to −59% in 2022. It's up 16% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over ESTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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