ESNT
Essent Group Ltd.
ESNT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over ESNT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
ESNT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ESNT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ESNT.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
ESNT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.7x | $41.50 | -36% |
| Fair | 8.4x | $61.43 | -5.3% |
| Forward | 8.6x | $64.89 | — |
| Current | 8.9x | $64.89 | — |
| Expensive | 9.5x | $69.56 | +7.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ESNT's PE is in its fair range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over ESNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ESNT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESNT, but weaker profitability.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over ESNT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.
ESNT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.56 | +3.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.33 | +6.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.18 | +4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.03 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.90 | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.88 | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.86 | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.84 | +3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.85 | +5.4% |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
ESNT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $374.2M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $362.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $336.1M | +5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $312.4M | -0.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $311.8M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $319.1M | +2% |
| Q1 2025 | $317.6M | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $315M | +6% |
ESNT's revenue is growing: $374M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 53% | -11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 64% | -8.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 59% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 64% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 72% | -4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 65% | -6.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | -6.4 points |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over ESNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ESNT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $237.9M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $196.1M | +3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $191.2M | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $228M | +0.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $210.6M | -7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.8M | +0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $221.3M | +4.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $226M | +5.9% |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
ESNT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -8.9% | -8.7M shares |
| 3 years | -16% | -17.3M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -21.6M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -8.6M shares |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $74.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $191.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $170.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $126.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $122.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $170.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $168.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $66.3M |
ESNT spent $563M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 6.7% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
ESNT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
ESNT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over ESNT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ESNT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.2 | Neutral |
ESNT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
ESNT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ESNT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.9x | 13x | 32% below |
| PE % | 64 | 63 | 1 pt above |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ESNT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $64.2 | 1.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $66.0 | 1.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $63.2 | 2.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $60.9 | 6.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $56.4 | 15% above |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
ESNT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $52.3 | $43.9 | -16% |
| 2021 | $43.9 | $44.5 | +1.3% |
| 2022 | $44.5 | $39.0 | -12% |
| 2023 | $39.0 | $52.7 | +35% |
| 2024 | $52.7 | $54.1 | +2.5% |
| 2025 | $54.1 | $65.9 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $65.9 | $64.9 | -1.5% |
ESNT has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.