ESNT

Essent Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESNT's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.6%, but its operating margin fell 7 points to 59%. At 8.8x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ESNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ESNT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ESNT.

ESNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$41.50-36%
Fair8.4x$61.43-5.3%
Forward8.5x$64.89—
Current8.9x$64.89—
Expensive9.5x$69.56+7.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESNT's PE is in its fair range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.5x next year's earnings.

ESNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESNT, but weaker profitability.

ESNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$76.05
Downside-11%$57.78

Calculated from the latest close: $64.89 on Nov 12.

ESNT's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +17% against −11%.

ESNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.60
Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.60+3.6%
Q3 2026$7.33+6.5%
Q2 2026$7.18+4.7%
Q1 2026$7.03+2.8%
Q4 2025$6.90+0.7%
Q3 2025$6.88-0.3%
Q2 2025$6.86-0.7%
Q1 2025$6.84+3.5%
Q4 2024$6.85+5.4%

ESNT earned $7.33 per share over the past year, up 6.5% from the year before.

ESNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$374.2M+20%
Q2 2026$362.7M+14%
Q1 2026$336.1M+5.8%
Q4 2025$312.4M-0.8%
Q3 2025$311.8M-1.5%
Q2 2025$319.1M+2%
Q1 2025$317.6M+6.4%
Q4 2024$315M+6%

ESNT's revenue is growing: $374M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

ESNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$237.9M+13%
Q2 2026$196.1M+3.9%
Q1 2026$191.2M-14%
Q4 2025$228M+0.9%
Q3 2025$210.6M-7.9%
Q2 2025$188.8M+0.6%
Q1 2025$221.3M+4.2%
Q4 2024$226M+5.9%

ESNT's free cash flow was $853M over the past year, about the same as the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.

ESNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-8.7M shares
3 years-16%-17.3M shares
5 years-19%-21.6M shares
Available history-8.7%-8.6M shares

ESNT has 90M diluted shares, down 8.9% from a year ago, with $563M in buybacks over the past year.

ESNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ESNT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.

ESNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

ESNT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

ESNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricESNTSector medianRelative
PE8.9x13x32% below
PE %64631 pt above

ESNT is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 32% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ESNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.21.1% above
20 week MA$66.01.7% below
50 week MA$63.22.7% above
100 week MA$60.96.5% above
200 week MA$56.415% above

ESNT's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

ESNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.3$43.9-16%
2021$43.9$44.5+1.3%
2022$44.5$39.0-12%
2023$39.0$52.7+35%
2024$52.7$54.1+2.5%
2025$54.1$65.9+22%
2026 YTD$65.9$64.9-1.5%

ESNT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 1.5% so far in 2026.

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