ERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ERIC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over ERIC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ERIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ERIC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ERIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$6.18-42%
Fair15x$8.58-19%
Current18x$10.61—
Expensive132x$76.83+624%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERIC's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over ERIC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ERIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ERIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

ERIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$13.22
Downside-20%$8.54

Calculated from the latest close: $10.61 on Nov 12.

ERIC trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ERIC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ERIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.58-21%
Q2 2026$0.74+45%
Q1 2026$0.75+1775%
Q4 2025$0.84+8300%
Q3 2025$0.73+$0.77
Q2 2025$0.51+$1.60
Q1 2025$0.04+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.01+$0.83

ERIC earned $0.58 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over ERIC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6B+5.8%
Q2 2026$5.3B-4.3%
Q1 2026$5.1B-0.9%
Q4 2025$6.8B-9.2%
Q3 2025$5.7B-5.9%
Q2 2025$5.5B-7%
Q1 2025$5.2B-6.7%
Q4 2024$7.5B+10%

ERIC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $6B last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over ERIC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$535.9M-27%
Q2 2026$128.9M-64%
Q1 2026$706.5M+107%
Q4 2025$1.5B-17%
Q3 2025$729.6M-45%
Q2 2025$354.2M-59%
Q1 2025$342M-29%
Q4 2024$1.8B+38%

ERIC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $2.9B over the past year.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over ERIC on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ERIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-44M shares
1 year-1.9%-64M shares
3 years-1.6%-52M shares
5 years-1.7%-55M shares
Available history-1.4%-48M shares

ERIC has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

ERIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

ERIC has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ERIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ERIC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

ERIC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricERICSector medianRelative
PE18x28x34% below
PE %643529 pts above

ERIC has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ERIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.24% above
20 week MA$10.24% above
50 week MA$10.81.4% below
100 week MA$9.5112% above
200 week MA$7.7138% above

ERIC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 38% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

ERIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.86$11.8+33%
2021$11.8$10.8-8.4%
2022$10.8$5.89-45%
2023$5.89$6.30+7%
2024$6.30$8.10+29%
2025$8.10$9.68+20%
2026 YTD$9.68$10.6+9.6%

ERIC has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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