ERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ)

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ERIC's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 12% of its revenue into free cash flow, but earnings per share fell 21%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

ERIC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ERIC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ERIC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2166x4332x6498x8664x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$6.18-42%
Fair15x$8.58-19%
Current18x$10.61—
Expensive132x$76.83+624%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERIC's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ERIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ERIC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ERIC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$13.22
Downside-20%$8.54

Calculated from the latest close: $10.61 on Nov 12.

ERIC's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −20%.

ERIC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
Q4 2023: $-0.82Q1 2024: $-0.78Q2 2024: $-1.09Q3 2024: $-0.04Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.51Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.75Q2 2026: $0.74Q3 2026: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.58-21%
Q2 2026$0.74+45%
Q1 2026$0.75+1775%
Q4 2025$0.84+8300%
Q3 2025$0.73+$0.77
Q2 2025$0.51+$1.60
Q1 2025$0.04+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.01+$0.83

ERIC earned $0.58 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

ERIC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $5.6BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $7.5BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $5.5BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $6.8BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $5.3BQ3 2026: $6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6B+5.8%
Q2 2026$5.3B-4.3%
Q1 2026$5.1B-0.9%
Q4 2025$6.8B-9.2%
Q3 2025$5.7B-5.9%
Q2 2025$5.5B-7%
Q1 2025$5.2B-6.7%
Q4 2024$7.5B+10%

ERIC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $6B last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

ERIC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $484MQ2 2024: $854MQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $342MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $730MQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $707MQ2 2026: $129MQ3 2026: $536M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$535.9M-27%
Q2 2026$128.9M-64%
Q1 2026$706.5M+107%
Q4 2025$1.5B-17%
Q3 2025$729.6M-45%
Q2 2025$354.2M-59%
Q1 2025$342M-29%
Q4 2024$1.8B+38%

ERIC still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $2.9B over the past year.

ERIC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
Q4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.3BQ2 2024: 3.3BQ3 2024: 3.3BQ4 2024: 3.3BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ3 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3BQ1 2026: 3.3BQ2 2026: 3.3BQ3 2026: 3.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-44M shares
1 year-1.9%-64M shares
3 years-1.6%-52M shares
5 years-1.7%-55M shares
Available history-1.4%-48M shares

ERIC has 3.3B diluted shares, down 1.9% from a year ago, with $795M in buybacks over the past year.

ERIC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.1xVery low

ERIC has more cash than debt.

ERIC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.2Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

ERIC's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

ERIC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricERICSector medianRelative
PE18x28x34% below
PE %643529 pts above

ERIC is trading at 18x earnings, a 34% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ERIC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.24% above
20 week MA$10.24% above
50 week MA$10.81.4% below
100 week MA$9.5112% above
200 week MA$7.7138% above

ERIC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 38% above its 200-week average.

ERIC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.86$11.8+33%
2021$11.8$10.8-8.4%
2022$10.8$5.89-45%
2023$5.89$6.30+7%
2024$6.30$8.10+29%
2025$8.10$9.68+20%
2026 YTD$9.68$10.6+9.6%

ERIC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 9.6% so far in 2026.

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