ECPG
Encore Capital Group, Inc.
ECPG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over ECPG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
ECPG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ECPG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ECPG.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
ECPG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.4x | $68.62 | -38% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $96.38 | -12% |
| Forward | 6.8x | $110 | — |
| Current | 7.1x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 11x | $164 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ECPG's PE is in its expensive range at 7.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over ECPG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ECPG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ECPG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over ECPG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
ECPG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.12 | +3.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $15.56 | +$17.35 |
| Q2 2026 | $13.16 | +$16.86 |
| Q1 2026 | $12.84 | +$17.69 |
| Q4 2025 | $10.91 | +$16.74 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.79 | +$6.00 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.70 | +$4.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.85 | +$3.67 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.83 | +$2.89 |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
ECPG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $544.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $491.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $475.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $473.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $460.4M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $442.1M | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $265.6M | -4.2% |
ECPG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $545M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +87 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -51% | +28 points |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over ECPG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 7.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ECPG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.9M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$37.8M | -1283% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.5M | +102% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9M | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | $75.6M | +90% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.3M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $15M | -48% |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
ECPG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -536K shares |
| 1 year | -5.4% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -8.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -9.2M shares |
| Available history | -29% | -9.2M shares |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | $25.6M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
| Q3 2022 | $25.9M |
| Q2 2022 | $25.1M |
| Q1 2022 | $25.7M |
| Q4 2021 | $302.5M |
| Q3 2021 | $40.7M |
| Q2 2021 | $27M |
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
ECPG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 18.5x | High |
ECPG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ECPG.
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has the edge over ECPG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ECPG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.7 | Neutral |
ECPG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
ECPG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ECPG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.1x | 13x | 46% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ECPG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.2 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.8 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $80.9 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.2 | 79% above |
| 200 week MA | $54.5 | 101% above |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
ECPG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.0 | $37.8 | +5.1% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $60.2 | +59% |
| 2022 | $60.2 | $47.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $47.2 | $50.8 | +7.6% |
| 2024 | $50.8 | $47.5 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $47.5 | $55.5 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.5 | $109.9 | +98% |
ECPG has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.