ECPG
Encore Capital Group, Inc.
ECPG's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 27% and its operating margin rose 19 points to 39%. At 7.1x earnings, it's trading above its usual 6.2x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.
ECPG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ECPG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ECPG.
ECPG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.4x | $68.62 | -38% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $96.38 | -12% |
| Forward | 6.8x | $110 | — |
| Current | 7.1x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 11x | $164 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ECPG's PE is in its expensive range at 7.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ECPG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ECPG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ECPG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.12 | +3.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $15.56 | +$17.35 |
| Q2 2026 | $13.16 | +$16.86 |
| Q1 2026 | $12.84 | +$17.69 |
| Q4 2025 | $10.91 | +$16.74 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.79 | +$6.00 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.70 | +$4.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.85 | +$3.67 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.83 | +$2.89 |
ECPG has returned to profit: it earned $15.56 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ECPG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $544.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $491.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $475.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $473.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $460.4M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $442.1M | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $265.6M | -4.2% |
ECPG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $545M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +87 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -51% | +28 points |
ECPG's operating margin was 42% last quarter, up 4.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ECPG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.9M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$37.8M | -1283% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.5M | +102% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9M | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | $75.6M | +90% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.3M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $15M | -48% |
ECPG's free cash flow was $151M over the past year, up 15% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ECPG.
ECPG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -536K shares |
| 1 year | -5.4% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -8.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -9.2M shares |
| Available history | -29% | -9.2M shares |
ECPG has 22M diluted shares, down 5.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | $25.6M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
| Q3 2022 | $25.9M |
| Q2 2022 | $25.1M |
| Q1 2022 | $25.7M |
| Q4 2021 | $302.5M |
| Q3 2021 | $40.7M |
| Q2 2021 | $27M |
ECPG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 18.5x | High |
ECPG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ECPG.
ECPG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.7 | Neutral |
ECPG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
ECPG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ECPG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.1x | 13x | 46% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
ECPG is trading at 7.1x earnings, a 46% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ECPG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.2 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.8 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $80.9 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.2 | 79% above |
| 200 week MA | $54.5 | 101% above |
ECPG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 101% above its 200-week average.
ECPG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.0 | $37.8 | +5.1% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $60.2 | +59% |
| 2022 | $60.2 | $47.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $47.2 | $50.8 | +7.6% |
| 2024 | $50.8 | $47.5 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $47.5 | $55.5 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.5 | $109.9 | +98% |
ECPG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 98% so far in 2026.