ECPG
Encore Capital Group, Inc.
ECPG has the edge over HOOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ECPG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ECPG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ECPG.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
ECPG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.4x | $68.62 | -38% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $96.38 | -12% |
| Forward | 6.8x | $110 | — |
| Current | 7.1x | $110 | — |
| Expensive | 11x | $164 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ECPG's PE is in its expensive range at 7.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over ECPG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ECPG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ECPG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over ECPG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
ECPG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $16.12 | +3.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $15.56 | +$17.35 |
| Q2 2026 | $13.16 | +$16.86 |
| Q1 2026 | $12.84 | +$17.69 |
| Q4 2025 | $10.91 | +$16.74 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.79 | +$6.00 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.70 | +$4.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.85 | +$3.67 |
| Q4 2024 | -$5.83 | +$2.89 |
ECPG has the edge over HOOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD earned $2.16 per share over the past year, down 10% from the year before.
ECPG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $544.5M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $491.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $475.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $473.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $460.4M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $442.1M | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $265.6M | -4.2% |
ECPG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $545M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +3.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | +5.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +87 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 33% | +7.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -51% | +28 points |
ECPG's operating margin was 42% last quarter, up 4.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over ECPG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over ECPG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ECPG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $101.9M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | -$37.8M | -1283% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.5M | +102% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.9M | -34% |
| Q3 2025 | $75.6M | +90% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $38.3M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $15M | -48% |
ECPG's free cash flow was $151M over the past year, up 15% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ECPG.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over ECPG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ECPG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -536K shares |
| 1 year | -5.4% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -8.7% | -2.1M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -9.2M shares |
| Available history | -29% | -9.2M shares |
ECPG has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | $25.6M |
| Q4 2022 | $10.4M |
| Q3 2022 | $25.9M |
| Q2 2022 | $25.1M |
| Q1 2022 | $25.7M |
| Q4 2021 | $302.5M |
| Q3 2021 | $40.7M |
| Q2 2021 | $27M |
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
ECPG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 18.5x | High |
ECPG has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ECPG.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has the edge over ECPG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ECPG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.7 | Neutral |
ECPG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
ECPG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ECPG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.1x | 13x | 46% below |
| PE % | 67 | 63 | 4 pts above |
ECPG has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ECPG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.2 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.8 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $80.9 | 36% above |
| 100 week MA | $61.2 | 79% above |
| 200 week MA | $54.5 | 101% above |
ECPG has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
ECPG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.0 | $37.8 | +5.1% |
| 2021 | $37.8 | $60.2 | +59% |
| 2022 | $60.2 | $47.2 | -22% |
| 2023 | $47.2 | $50.8 | +7.6% |
| 2024 | $50.8 | $47.5 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $47.5 | $55.5 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.5 | $109.9 | +98% |
ECPG has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.