EBS

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

35
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

EBS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over EBS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

EBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Strong
Weak

EBS's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EBS PE Valuation

EBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

EBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect EBS to return to profit, with revenue growing.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

EBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$9.64
Downside-39%$3.61

Calculated from the latest close: $5.89 on Nov 12.

EBS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails EBS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.78Q1 2024: $-10.96Q2 2024: $-11.19Q3 2024: $-4.05Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $2.58Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-3.46Q3 2026: $-5.01Forward: $0.38
Q4 2023: $-14.78Q1 2024: $-10.96Q2 2024: $-11.19Q3 2024: $-4.05Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $2.58Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-3.46Q3 2026: $-5.01Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38—
Q3 2026-$5.01-450%
Q2 2026-$3.46-234%
Q1 2026-$0.19+$2.39
Q4 2025$0.93+$4.53
Q3 2025$1.43+$5.48
Q2 2025$2.58+$13.77
Q1 2025-$2.58+$8.38
Q4 2024-$3.60+$11.18

EBS has swung to a loss: it lost $5.01 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over EBS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $277MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $277MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110M-52%
Q2 2026$234.3M+66%
Q1 2026$156.1M-30%
Q4 2025$148.7M-24%
Q3 2025$231.1M-21%
Q2 2025$140.9M-45%
Q1 2025$222.2M-26%
Q4 2024$194.7M-30%

EBS's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $110M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over EBS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: −$82MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: −$82MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$96.8M+$102.5M
Q2 2026$54M-48%
Q1 2026-$36.2M-$21.4M
Q4 2025$73.8M+$155.4M
Q3 2025-$5.7M-104%
Q2 2025$103.5M+141%
Q1 2025-$14.8M+$58.6M
Q4 2024-$81.6M-494%

EBS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $188M over the past year.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over EBS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-300K shares
1 year-9.2%-5.2M shares
3 years-1%-500K shares
5 years-4.5%-2.4M shares
Available history-2.1%-1.1M shares

EBS has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

EBS Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5,642.0xQ1 2025: 67.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 15.6x
Q4 2024: 5,642.0xQ1 2025: 67.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 15.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202615.6xHigh
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 202567.1xHigh
Q4 20245,642.0xHigh
Q3 20211.1xHealthy

EBS's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.9 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over EBS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic56.9Neutral

EBS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

EBS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricEBSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

EBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

EBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.448.5% below
20 week MA$6.489.1% below
50 week MA$8.4130% below
100 week MA$8.1428% below
200 week MA$7.3720% below

EBS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over EBS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$93.8+74%
2021$93.8$45.5-51%
2022$45.5$11.0-76%
2023$11.0$2.40-78%
2024$2.40$8.27+245%
2025$8.27$12.4+50%
2026 YTD$12.4$5.89-53%

EBS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +245% in 2024 to −78% in 2023. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over EBS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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