EBS

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.

35
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

EBS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

EBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Strong
Weak

EBS's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

EBS PE Valuation

EBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

EBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect EBS to return to profit, with revenue growing.

EBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+64%$9.64
Downside-39%$3.61

Calculated from the latest close: $5.89 on Nov 12.

EBS's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +64% against −39%.

EBS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.78Q1 2024: $-10.96Q2 2024: $-11.19Q3 2024: $-4.05Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $2.58Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-3.46Q3 2026: $-5.01Forward: $0.38
Q4 2023: $-14.78Q1 2024: $-10.96Q2 2024: $-11.19Q3 2024: $-4.05Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-2.58Q2 2025: $2.58Q3 2025: $1.43Q4 2025: $0.93Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $-3.46Q3 2026: $-5.01Forward: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.38—
Q3 2026-$5.01-450%
Q2 2026-$3.46-234%
Q1 2026-$0.19+$2.39
Q4 2025$0.93+$4.53
Q3 2025$1.43+$5.48
Q2 2025$2.58+$13.77
Q1 2025-$2.58+$8.38
Q4 2024-$3.60+$11.18

EBS has swung to a loss: it lost $5.01 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EBS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $277MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $277MQ1 2024: $300MQ2 2024: $255MQ3 2024: $294MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $149MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$110M-52%
Q2 2026$234.3M+66%
Q1 2026$156.1M-30%
Q4 2025$148.7M-24%
Q3 2025$231.1M-21%
Q2 2025$140.9M-45%
Q1 2025$222.2M-26%
Q4 2024$194.7M-30%

EBS's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $110M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: −$82MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $148MQ4 2024: −$82MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: $74MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $54MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$96.8M+$102.5M
Q2 2026$54M-48%
Q1 2026-$36.2M-$21.4M
Q4 2025$73.8M+$155.4M
Q3 2025-$5.7M-104%
Q2 2025$103.5M+141%
Q1 2025-$14.8M+$58.6M
Q4 2024-$81.6M-494%

EBS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $188M over the past year.

EBS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-300K shares
1 year-9.2%-5.2M shares
3 years-1%-500K shares
5 years-4.5%-2.4M shares
Available history-2.1%-1.1M shares

EBS has 51M diluted shares, down 9.2% from a year ago, with $27M in buybacks over the past year.

EBS Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5,642.0xQ1 2025: 67.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 15.6x
Q4 2024: 5,642.0xQ1 2025: 67.1xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 15.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202615.6xHigh
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 202567.1xHigh
Q4 20245,642.0xHigh
Q3 20211.1xHealthy

EBS's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.9 years a year ago.

EBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic56.9Neutral

EBS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

EBS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricEBSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

EBS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.448.5% below
20 week MA$6.489.1% below
50 week MA$8.4130% below
100 week MA$8.1428% below
200 week MA$7.3720% below

EBS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

EBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$93.8+74%
2021$93.8$45.5-51%
2022$45.5$11.0-76%
2023$11.0$2.40-78%
2024$2.40$8.27+245%
2025$8.27$12.4+50%
2026 YTD$12.4$5.89-53%

EBS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +245% in 2024 to −78% in 2023. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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